Edgehalla

Fantasy tools

Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Monday, Mar 30

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Monday, Mar 30 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: NYI L2 (Schenn–Barzal–Ritchie) vs PIT.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1NYIL2vs PIT0.67 xG

    Brayden Schenn32%, Mathew Barzal82%, Calum Ritchie31%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2STLL2vs SJS0.62 xG

    Robert Thomas90%, Dylan Holloway92%, Jimmy Snuggerud78%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3NYIL1vs PIT0.62 xG

    Anders Lee29%, Bo Horvat90%, Emil Heineman31%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4VGKL1vs VAN0.55 xG

    Mark Stone94%, Ivan Barbashev66%, Jack Eichel99%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5SJSL1vs STL0.54 xG

    Will Smith95%, Macklin Celebrini100%, Igor Chernyshov54%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6VGKPP1vs VAN0.54 xG

    Mark Stone94%, Tomas Hertl85%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7NYIL3vs PIT0.53 xG

    Ondrej Palat0.1%, Jean-Gabriel Pageau11%, Simon Holmstrom16%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8TORL1vs ANA0.52 xG

    John Tavares96%, William Nylander99%, Easton Cowan55%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9ANAL1vs TOR0.49 xG

    Jeffrey Viel3.2%, Ryan Poehling6.7%, Cutter Gauthier98%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10STLL1vs SJS0.49 xG

    Pavel Buchnevich33%, Jordan Kyrou74%, Jake Neighbours29%

    Matchup factors →

By game

PIT @ NYI

CGY @ COL

VAN @ VGK

TOR @ ANA

STL @ SJS

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.