Fantasy tools
Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Monday, Apr 27
Data updated:
Top 10 stacks
Mark Stone93%, Tomas Hertl85%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%, Pavel Dorofeyev93%
Matchup factors →Taylor Hall27%, Logan Stankoven68%, Jackson Blake70%
Matchup factors →Sebastian Aho100%, Andrei Svechnikov97%, Seth Jarvis94%
Matchup factors →Kailer Yamamoto0.2%, Dylan Guenther100%, Logan Cooley94%
Matchup factors →Evgeni Malkin86%, Sidney Crosby100%, Erik Karlsson95%, Bryan Rust84%, Rickard Rakell81%
Matchup factors →Christian Dvorak15%, Travis Konecny91%, Porter Martone87%
Matchup factors →Nick Schmaltz96%, Lawson Crouse34%, Clayton Keller100%
Matchup factors →Sidney Crosby100%, Bryan Rust84%, Rickard Rakell81%
Matchup factors →Evgeni Malkin86%, Tommy Novak39%, Egor Chinakhov50%
Matchup factors →Mark Stone93%, Ivan Barbashev66%, Jack Eichel99%
Matchup factors →
By game
OTT @ CAR
Taylor Hall27%, Logan Stankoven68%, Jackson Blake70%
12.0 min/game · 3.79 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .29
Sebastian Aho100%, Andrei Svechnikov97%, Seth Jarvis94%
12.5 min/game · 3.39 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Drake Batherson97%, Brady Tkachuk100%, Shane Pinto39%, Tim Stützle100%, Carter Yakemchuk44%
5.4 min/game · 5.66 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%
- CAR shorthanded time −1%
- CAR PK xGA/60 −8%
- Together 1 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Jordan Staal19%, Shayne Gostisbehere95%, Sebastian Aho100%, Andrei Svechnikov97%, Seth Jarvis94%
2.5 min/game · 8.79 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- OTT shorthanded time +11%
- OTT PK xGA/60 +3%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .19
Jordan Staal19%, Jordan Martinook4.3%, Nikolaj Ehlers92%
12.4 min/game · 2.87 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Lars Eller4.1%, Nick Cousins3.2%, Fabian Zetterlund13%
3.7 min/game · 2.18 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- CAR 5v5 xGA/60 +1%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Drake Batherson97%, Brady Tkachuk100%, Tim Stützle100%
8.7 min/game · 3.44 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- CAR 5v5 xGA/60 +1%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Mark Jankowski0.2%, William Carrier3.3%, Eric Robinson0.1%
8.8 min/game · 2.63 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- OTT 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Warren Foegele4.0%, Michael Amadio6.0%, Shane Pinto39%
7.9 min/game · 2.48 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- CAR 5v5 xGA/60 +1%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .25
Claude Giroux32%, Dylan Cozens89%, Ridly Greig15%
6.9 min/game · 1.78 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- CAR 5v5 xGA/60 +1%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
PHI @ PIT
Evgeni Malkin86%, Sidney Crosby100%, Erik Karlsson95%, Bryan Rust84%, Rickard Rakell81%
3.7 min/game · 7.90 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- PHI shorthanded time −3%
- PHI PK xGA/60 +2%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .20
Christian Dvorak15%, Travis Konecny91%, Porter Martone87%
9.5 min/game · 2.68 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- PIT 5v5 xGA/60 +11%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Sidney Crosby100%, Bryan Rust84%, Rickard Rakell81%
8.8 min/game · 2.83 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- PHI 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Evgeni Malkin86%, Tommy Novak39%, Egor Chinakhov50%
6.9 min/game · 3.79 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- PHI 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Sean Couturier8.3%, Luke Glendening0.0%, Garnet Hathaway4.0%
8.3 min/game · 2.13 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- PIT 5v5 xGA/60 +11%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Noel Acciari4.1%, Connor Dewar4.2%, Blake Lizotte0.2%
8.0 min/game · 2.44 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- PHI 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .29
Noah Cates15%, Trevor Zegras83%, Jamie Drysdale52%, Tyson Foerster38%, Porter Martone87%
2.0 min/game · 9.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- PIT shorthanded time −2%
- PIT PK xGA/60 −2%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .18
Owen Tippett77%, Trevor Zegras83%, Tyson Foerster38%
5.7 min/game · 2.47 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- PIT 5v5 xGA/60 +11%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Anthony Mantha45%, Elmer Soderblom4.8%, Ben Kindel50%
6.4 min/game · 2.80 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- PHI 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Noah Cates15%, Denver Barkey14%, Matvei Michkov83%
4.1 min/game · 1.81 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- PIT 5v5 xGA/60 +11%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
VGK @ UTA
Mark Stone93%, Tomas Hertl85%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%, Pavel Dorofeyev93%
4.0 min/game · 10.85 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- UTA shorthanded time +2%
- UTA PK xGA/60 +10%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Kailer Yamamoto0.2%, Dylan Guenther100%, Logan Cooley94%
9.7 min/game · 3.45 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VGK 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Nick Schmaltz96%, Lawson Crouse34%, Clayton Keller100%
9.0 min/game · 3.00 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VGK 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .29
Mark Stone93%, Ivan Barbashev66%, Jack Eichel99%
6.6 min/game · 3.20 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- UTA 5v5 xGA/60 +1%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Alexander Kerfoot3.2%, Michael Carcone6.6%, JJ Peterka77%
7.8 min/game · 2.48 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VGK 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Nick Schmaltz96%, Clayton Keller100%, Mikhail Sergachev98%, Dylan Guenther100%, Logan Cooley94%
2.2 min/game · 8.91 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- VGK shorthanded time −7%
- VGK PK xGA/60 −6%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .21
Nic Dowd3.2%, Colton Sissons3.3%, Cole Smith0.1%
5.4 min/game · 2.26 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- UTA 5v5 xGA/60 +1%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
Reilly Smith, Tomas Hertl85%, Keegan Kolesar5.1%
5.3 min/game · 2.06 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- UTA 5v5 xGA/60 +1%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Mitch Marner99%, Brett Howden15%, Pavel Dorofeyev93%
4.6 min/game · 2.04 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- UTA 5v5 xGA/60 +1%
- Together 3 of last 3
- DK correlation .27
Liam O'Brien0.1%, Kevin Stenlund0.1%, Brandon Tanev0.1%
5.0 min/game · 2.13 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- VGK 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- Together 2 of last 3
- DK correlation .28
How it works
- Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
- Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
- Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
- Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
- Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.
Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model
Frequently asked questions
What is a stack in fantasy hockey?
A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.
How are stacks ranked?
Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.
Where do the lines come from?
From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.
Why does it say "shot-based"?
While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.