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NHL Stack Finder: Tuesday, Nov 17

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Tuesday, Nov 17 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: EDM L1 (Draisaitl–McDavid–Podkolzin) vs FLA.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1EDML1vs FLA0.80 xG

    Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Vasily Podkolzin78%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2STLL1vs ANA0.64 xG

    Robert Thomas92%, Dylan Holloway95%, Jimmy Snuggerud80%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3TBLPP1vs WSH0.64 xG

    John Carlson99%, Nikita Kucherov100%, Jake Guentzel100%, Brayden Point95%, Brandon Hagel100%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4WPGL1vs OTT0.60 xG

    Mark Scheifele99%, Kyle Connor99%, Cole Perfetti49%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5FLAL1vs EDM0.60 xG

    Carter Verhaeghe72%, Sam Bennett83%, Matthew Tkachuk100%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6LAKL1vs BOS0.55 xG

    Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield86%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7DALPP1vs VGK0.55 xG

    Mikko Rantanen99%, Roope Hintz84%, Jason Robertson100%, Miro Heiskanen99%, Wyatt Johnston100%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8BUFL1vs PHI0.54 xG

    Jack Quinn47%, Noah Ostlund26%, Zach Benson56%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9FLAL2vs EDM0.53 xG

    Eetu Luostarinen15%, Anton Lundell47%, Sandis Vilmanis6.4%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10TBLL1vs WSH0.52 xG

    Jake Guentzel100%, Anthony Cirelli51%, Brandon Hagel100%

    Matchup factors →

By game

LAK @ BOS

WSH @ TBL

EDM @ FLA

CBJ @ NYI

BUF @ PHI

TOR @ CHI

ANA @ STL

NSH @ MIN

OTT @ WPG

DAL @ VGK

CGY @ SJS

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.