Injury cascade
Who benefits when Alexey Toropchenko is out?
Alexey Toropchenko (R, St. Louis Blues) plays 10:57 a night on L4, with 1% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 5 games.
Based on 22 games without Alexey Toropchenko and 66 with him. Through games of Oct 13, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+1:11 TOI, +14 PP% · 12% rost
+1:09 TOI · 3.2% rost
+0:40 TOI, +5 PP%
+0:27 TOI, +3 PP% · 31% rost
+0:41 TOI · 0.1% rost
−0:28 TOI, +5 PP% · 0.0% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam FowlerDIn 22 games without Alexey Toropchenko, Cam Fowler played 22:09 (+1:18) and took PP1 in 13 of them (26% of games with him). | 22 | 20:52 → 22:09 | +1:11 | 26% → 42% | 13/22 | 12%▼2 | Games without him |
| Mathieu JosephRIn 16 games without Alexey Toropchenko, Mathieu Joseph played 13:27 (+1:18). | 16 | 12:09 → 13:27 | +1:09 | 0% → 2% | 0/16 | 3.2% | Games without him |
| Robby FabbriCIn 2 games without Alexey Toropchenko, Robby Fabbri played 13:46 (+1:21) and PP share went 4% → 14%. | 2 | 12:25 → 13:46 | +0:40 | 4% → 14% | 0/2 | — | Games without him |
| Pavel BuchnevichLIn 21 games without Alexey Toropchenko, Pavel Buchnevich played 18:17 (+0:30), took PP1 in 15 of them (53% of games with him) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1. | 21 | 17:48 → 18:17 | +0:27 | 43% → 46% | 15/21 | 31%▼2 | Games without him |
| Nathan WalkerLIn 11 games without Alexey Toropchenko, Nathan Walker played 12:36 (+0:48). | 11 | 11:48 → 12:36 | +0:41 | 1% → 1% | 0/11 | 0.1% | Games without him |
| Oskar SundqvistCIn 12 games without Alexey Toropchenko, Oskar Sundqvist played 12:33 (−0:33) and took PP1 in 4 of them (8% of games with him). | 12 | 13:06 → 12:33 | −0:28 | 15% → 20% | 4/12 | 0.0% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Alexey Toropchenko is out?
Cam Fowler projects to gain the most (+1:11 a game). In 22 games without Alexey Toropchenko, Cam Fowler played 22:09 (+1:18) and took PP1 in 13 of them (26% of games with him).
How many games has STL played without Alexey Toropchenko?
22 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 66 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.