Injury cascade
Who benefits when Dillon Dube is out?
Dillon Dube (C, St. Louis Blues) plays 11:32 a night on L4, with 1% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 2 games.
Only 2 games without Dillon Dube so far; history is blended with line-adjacency estimates. Through games of Oct 13, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+0:42 TOI, +8 PP% · 28% rost
+0:01 TOI, +11 PP% · 31% rost
−0:06 TOI, +9 PP% · 34% rost
+0:37 TOI, +5 PP% · 52% rost
−0:32 TOI, +7 PP% · 12% rost
+0:17 TOI, +4 PP% · 4.1% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalibor DvorskyRIn 2 games without Dillon Dube, Dalibor Dvorsky played 14:03 (+1:25) and took PP1 in 2 of them (0% of games with him). | 2 | 12:38 → 14:03 | +0:42 | 29% → 45% | 2/2 | 28% | Games without him |
| Pavel BuchnevichLIn 2 games without Dillon Dube, Pavel Buchnevich played 17:43 (+0:02) and took PP1 in 2 of them (0% of games with him). | 2 | 17:40 → 17:43 | +0:01 | 31% → 54% | 2/2 | 31%▼2 | Games without him |
| Connor McMichaelLIn 2 games without Dillon Dube, Connor McMichael played 16:16 (−0:11) and took PP1 in 2 of them (0% of games with him). | 2 | 16:27 → 16:16 | −0:06 | 32% → 51% | 2/2 | 34%▲0.9 | Games without him |
| Mason McTavishCIn 2 games without Dillon Dube, Mason McTavish played 16:49 (+1:13) and took PP1 in 2 of them (33% of games with him). | 2 | 15:35 → 16:49 | +0:37 | 40% → 49% | 2/2 | 52%▲1.9 | Games without him |
| Cam FowlerDIn 2 games without Dillon Dube, Cam Fowler played 22:01 (−1:04) and took PP1 in 2 of them (33% of games with him). | 2 | 23:04 → 22:01 | −0:32 | 36% → 50% | 2/2 | 12%▼2 | Games without him |
| Pius SuterCIn 2 games without Dillon Dube, Pius Suter played 14:09 (+0:34) and PP share went 1% → 9%. | 2 | 13:35 → 14:09 | +0:17 | 1% → 9% | 0/2 | 4.1% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Dillon Dube is out?
Dalibor Dvorsky projects to gain the most (+0:42 a game). In 2 games without Dillon Dube, Dalibor Dvorsky played 14:03 (+1:25) and took PP1 in 2 of them (0% of games with him).
How many games has STL played without Dillon Dube?
2 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 3 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.