Injury cascade
Who benefits when Jacob Melanson is out?
Jacob Melanson (R, Seattle Kraken) plays 8:14 a night on L4, with 0% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 6 games.
Based on 21 games without Jacob Melanson and 37 with him. Through games of Oct 13, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+1:48 TOI · 5.6% rost
+0:15 TOI, +5 PP% · 85% rost
+1:46 TOI, −7 PP% · 15% rost
+0:26 TOI · 5.8% rost
−0:52 TOI, +4 PP% · 24% rost
−0:06 TOI · 49% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Fisker MolgaardCIn 7 games without Jacob Melanson, Oscar Fisker Molgaard played 10:40 (+2:19). | 7 | 8:21 → 10:40 | +1:48 | 0% → 1% | 0/7 | 5.6% | Games without him |
| Brandon MontourDIn 20 games without Jacob Melanson, Brandon Montour played 23:14 (+0:16). | 20 | 22:57 → 23:14 | +0:15 | 33% → 38% | 5/20 | 85%▲2.9 | Games without him |
| Ryker EvansDIn 20 games without Jacob Melanson, Ryker Evans played 19:39 (+1:56) and PP share went 10% → 2%. | 20 | 17:42 → 19:39 | +1:46 | 10% → 2% | 0/20 | 15%▲0.8 | Games without him |
| Ben MeyersCIn 18 games without Jacob Melanson, Ben Meyers played 12:43 (+0:28). | 18 | 12:15 → 12:43 | +0:26 | 2% → 1% | 0/18 | 5.8%▲5.8 | Games without him |
| Kaapo KakkoRIn 21 games without Jacob Melanson, Kaapo Kakko played 13:57 (−0:57) and moved up to his L4 slot in 5. | 21 | 14:54 → 13:57 | −0:52 | 30% → 35% | 5/21 | 24%▲5.3 | Games without him |
| Matty BeniersCIn 21 games without Jacob Melanson, Matty Beniers played 18:34 (−0:06) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1. | 21 | 18:40 → 18:34 | −0:06 | 49% → 48% | 14/21 | 49%▼1.7 | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Jacob Melanson is out?
Oscar Fisker Molgaard projects to gain the most (+1:48 a game). In 7 games without Jacob Melanson, Oscar Fisker Molgaard played 10:40 (+2:19).
How many games has SEA played without Jacob Melanson?
21 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 37 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.