Injury cascade
Who benefits when Marco Kasper is out?
Marco Kasper (C, Detroit Red Wings) plays 12:00 a night on L4 and PP1, with 10% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 5 games.
Based on 6 games without Marco Kasper and 82 with him. Through games of Oct 13, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+2:56 TOI, +12 PP% · 0.1% rost
+2:42 TOI · 26% rost
+2:25 TOI · 0.0% rost
+1:17 TOI, +8 PP% · 94% rost
+1:18 TOI, +6 PP% · 8.3% rost
+1:23 TOI, +4 PP% · 99% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael RasmussenCIn 6 games without Marco Kasper, Michael Rasmussen played 16:36 (+3:54) and PP share went 4% → 21%. | 6 | 12:41 → 16:36 | +2:56 | 4% → 21% | 0/6 | 0.1% | Games without him |
| Michael Brandsegg-NygårdRIn 5 games without Marco Kasper, Michael Brandsegg-Nygård played 16:07 (+3:47). | 5 | 12:20 → 16:07 | +2:42 | 17% → 15% | 0/5 | 26%▲4.1 | Games without him |
| Sheldon DriesCIn 3 games without Marco Kasper, Sheldon Dries played 11:00 (+4:01). | 3 | 6:59 → 11:00 | +2:25 | 1% → 0% | 0/3 | 0.0% | Games without him |
| Lucas RaymondLIn 6 games without Marco Kasper, Lucas Raymond played 20:30 (+1:43) and PP share went 54% → 64%. | 6 | 18:47 → 20:30 | +1:17 | 54% → 64% | 6/6 | 94% | Games without him |
| Andrew CoppCIn 6 games without Marco Kasper, Andrew Copp played 18:24 (+1:44) and PP share went 23% → 31%. | 6 | 16:40 → 18:24 | +1:18 | 23% → 31% | 1/6 | 8.3%▼0.8 | Games without him |
| Alex DeBrincatRIn 6 games without Marco Kasper, Alex DeBrincat played 20:20 (+1:50) and PP share went 55% → 61%. | 6 | 18:29 → 20:20 | +1:23 | 55% → 61% | 6/6 | 99% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Marco Kasper is out?
Michael Rasmussen projects to gain the most (+2:56 a game). In 6 games without Marco Kasper, Michael Rasmussen played 16:36 (+3:54) and PP share went 4% → 21%.
Who replaces Marco Kasper on the first power-play unit?
Michael Rasmussen is the likeliest replacement: his power-play share goes from 4% to 21% over 6 games without Marco Kasper.
How many games has DET played without Marco Kasper?
6 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 82 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.