Injury cascade
Who benefits when Michael Carcone is out?
Michael Carcone (L, Utah Mammoth) plays 13:26 a night on L4 and PP2, with 22% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 2 games.
Based on 3 games without Michael Carcone and 90 with him. Through games of Oct 13, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+0:34 TOI, +6 PP% · 3.4% rost
+0:22 TOI, +5 PP% · 98% rost
+0:03 TOI, +5 PP% · 99% rost
−0:32 TOI, +9 PP% · 16% rost
+0:04 TOI · 85% rost
−0:13 TOI, +5 PP% · 100% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailer YamamotoRIn 3 games without Michael Carcone, Kailer Yamamoto played 13:01 (+0:57) and PP share went 6% → 16%. | 3 | 12:04 → 13:01 | +0:34 | 6% → 16% | 0/3 | 3.4%▲3.2 | Games without him |
| Mikhail SergachevDIn 3 games without Michael Carcone, Mikhail Sergachev played 24:54 (+0:37) and PP share went 55% → 63%. | 3 | 24:17 → 24:54 | +0:22 | 55% → 63% | 3/3 | 98% | Games without him |
| Dylan GuentherRIn 3 games without Michael Carcone, Dylan Guenther played 17:33 (+0:05) and PP share went 58% → 67%. | 3 | 17:28 → 17:33 | +0:03 | 58% → 67% | 3/3 | 99% | Games without him |
| John MarinoDIn 3 games without Michael Carcone, John Marino played 19:34 (−0:53) and PP share went 4% → 18%. | 3 | 20:27 → 19:34 | −0:32 | 4% → 18% | 0/3 | 16%▼0.9 | Games without him |
| Vincent TrocheckCIn 2 games without Michael Carcone, Vincent Trocheck played 17:04 (+0:08) and PP share went 21% → 26%. | 2 | 16:56 → 17:04 | +0:04 | 21% → 26% | 0/2 | 85%▼2.3 | Games without him |
| Clayton KellerRIn 3 games without Michael Carcone, Clayton Keller played 18:43 (−0:22) and PP share went 59% → 67%. | 3 | 19:05 → 18:43 | −0:13 | 59% → 67% | 3/3 | 100% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Michael Carcone is out?
Kailer Yamamoto projects to gain the most (+0:34 a game). In 3 games without Michael Carcone, Kailer Yamamoto played 13:01 (+0:57) and PP share went 6% → 16%.
How many games has UTA played without Michael Carcone?
3 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 90 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.