FlexRB2 · #13
Ashton JeantyLVRB@ NE15.2 PPR pts
627
Floor 6 · median 14.1 · ceiling 27
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 21.0 (dog by 3.5)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 9th
- Snap share
- 67%▼13
Projects 15.2 vs 15.9 PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Ashton Jeanty vs Derrick Henry: Who Should I Start in Week 5?
Start Henry over Jeanty in PPR. Projects 15.9 vs 15.2 PPR points; 19.2 projected carries.
Side-by-side comparison
Scoring
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Start Henry over Jeanty in PPR
Ashton JeantyLVRB@ NEStartRB1 · #12
Derrick HenryBALRB@ ATL15.9 PPR pts
628
Floor 6 · median 14.5 · ceiling 28
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 20.3 (dog by 3)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 14th
- Snap share
- 62%▲4
Projects 15.9 vs 15.2 PPR points; 19.2 projected carries.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartAshton Jeanty stats and usageDerrick Henry stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Related start/sit calls
How this works
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry in Week 5?
Start Henry over Jeanty in PPR. Projects 15.9 vs 15.2 PPR points; 19.2 projected carries.
Who has the higher ceiling, Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry?
Derrick Henry: his 90th-percentile outcome is 28 PPR points against 27 for Ashton Jeanty, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Who is the safer start, Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry?
Ashton Jeanty: a floor (10th percentile) of 6 PPR points vs 6, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
What are Ashton Jeanty's and Derrick Henry's Week 5 projections?
PPR: Jeanty 15.2, Henry 15.9; half-PPR: Jeanty 13.6, Henry 15.2; standard: Jeanty 12.0, Henry 14.4 (points if he plays).