StartQB1 · #5tie
Drake MayeNEQBvs LV18.6 PPR pts
930
Floor 9 · median 17.6 · ceiling 30
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 24.5 (fav by 3.5)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 20th
- Usage
- –
Too close to call: 18.3 vs 18.1 projected PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · QB
Drake Maye vs Joe Burrow: Who Should I Start in Week 5?
Toss-up between Maye and Burrow in PPR. Too close to call: 18.3 vs 18.1 projected PPR points.
Side-by-side comparison
Scoring
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Toss-up between Maye and Burrow in PPR
Drake MayeNEQBvs LVStartQB1 · #7tie
Joe BurrowCINQB@ MIA18.4 PPR pts
830
Floor 8 · median 17.2 · ceiling 30
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 24.8 (fav by 7)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 9th
- Usage
- –
Too close to call: 18.1 vs 18.3 projected PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartDrake Maye stats and usageJoe Burrow stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Related start/sit calls
How this works
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Should I start Drake Maye or Joe Burrow in Week 5?
Toss-up between Maye and Burrow in PPR. Too close to call: 18.3 vs 18.1 projected PPR points.
Who has the higher ceiling, Drake Maye or Joe Burrow?
Joe Burrow: his 90th-percentile outcome is 30 PPR points against 30 for Drake Maye, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Who is the safer start, Drake Maye or Joe Burrow?
Drake Maye: a floor (10th percentile) of 9 PPR points vs 8, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
What are Drake Maye's and Joe Burrow's Week 5 projections?
PPR: Maye 18.7, Burrow 18.4; half-PPR: Maye 18.7, Burrow 18.4; standard: Maye 18.6, Burrow 18.4 (points if he plays).