FlexQB1 · #5
Drake MayeNEQBvs LV18.6 PPR pts
930
Floor 9 · median 17.6 · ceiling 30
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 24.5 (fav by 3.5)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 20th
- Usage
- –
Projects 18.7 vs 20.6 PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · QB
Drake Maye vs Josh Allen: Who Should I Start in Week 5?
Start Allen over Maye in PPR. Projects 20.6 vs 18.7 PPR points.
Side-by-side comparison
Scoring
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Start Allen over Maye in PPR
Drake MayeNEQBvs LVStartQB1 · #4
Josh AllenBUFQB@ LAR20.6 PPR pts
1033
Floor 10 · median 19.4 · ceiling 33
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 26.0 (dog by 2.5)
- Matchup
- Tough · 8th
- Usage
- –
Projects 20.6 vs 18.7 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartDrake Maye stats and usageJosh Allen stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Related start/sit calls
How this works
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Should I start Drake Maye or Josh Allen in Week 5?
Start Allen over Maye in PPR. Projects 20.6 vs 18.7 PPR points.
Who has the higher ceiling, Drake Maye or Josh Allen?
Josh Allen: his 90th-percentile outcome is 33 PPR points against 30 for Drake Maye, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Who is the safer start, Drake Maye or Josh Allen?
Josh Allen: a floor (10th percentile) of 10 PPR points vs 9, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
What are Drake Maye's and Josh Allen's Week 5 projections?
PPR: Maye 18.7, Allen 20.6; half-PPR: Maye 18.7, Allen 20.5; standard: Maye 18.6, Allen 20.5 (points if he plays).