2026 season · Week 5 · QB

Jacoby Brissett vs Josh Allen: Who Should I Start in Week 5?

Start Allen over Brissett in PPR. Projects 20.6 vs 18.6 PPR points.

Scoring

Start Allen over Brissett in PPR

FlexQB1 · #6

Jacoby BrissettARIQBvs DET

18.6 PPR pts

931

Floor 9 · median 17.5 · ceiling 31

Plays: 98%
Implied total: 25.0 (dog by 4.5)
Matchup: Soft · 30th
Usage: –

Projects 18.6 vs 20.6 PPR points.

Medium

StartQB1 · #4

Josh AllenBUFQB@ LAR

20.6 PPR pts

1033

Floor 10 · median 19.4 · ceiling 33

Plays: 98%
Implied total: 26.0 (dog by 2.5)
Matchup: Tough · 8th
Usage: –

Projects 20.6 vs 18.6 PPR points.

Medium

Add more players in Who Should I Start Jacoby Brissett stats and usage Josh Allen stats and usage All Week 5 projections

How this works

Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.

Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology

Frequently asked questions

Should I start Jacoby Brissett or Josh Allen in Week 5?

Start Allen over Brissett in PPR. Projects 20.6 vs 18.6 PPR points.

Who has the higher ceiling, Jacoby Brissett or Josh Allen?

Josh Allen: his 90th-percentile outcome is 33 PPR points against 31 for Jacoby Brissett, from 2,000 simulated games each.

Who is the safer start, Jacoby Brissett or Josh Allen?

Josh Allen: a floor (10th percentile) of 10 PPR points vs 9, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.

What are Jacoby Brissett's and Josh Allen's Week 5 projections?

PPR: Brissett 18.6, Allen 20.6; half-PPR: Brissett 18.6, Allen 20.5; standard: Brissett 18.6, Allen 20.5 (points if he plays).

Side-by-side comparison