2026 season · Week 5 · QB
Toss-up between Brissett and Burrow in PPR. Too close to call: 18.2 vs 18.1 projected PPR points; DET allows the 3rd-most QB points.
Jacoby BrissettARIQBvs DET18.6 PPR pts
Floor 9 · median 17.5 · ceiling 31
Too close to call: 18.2 vs 18.1 projected PPR points; DET allows the 3rd-most QB points.
Medium
Joe BurrowCINQB@ MIA18.4 PPR pts
Floor 8 · median 17.2 · ceiling 30
Too close to call: 18.1 vs 18.2 projected PPR points; DET allows the 3rd-most QB points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartJacoby Brissett stats and usageJoe Burrow stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Brissett and Burrow in PPR. Too close to call: 18.2 vs 18.1 projected PPR points; DET allows the 3rd-most QB points.
Jacoby Brissett: his 90th-percentile outcome is 31 PPR points against 30 for Joe Burrow, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Jacoby Brissett: a floor (10th percentile) of 9 PPR points vs 8, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Brissett 18.6, Burrow 18.4; half-PPR: Brissett 18.6, Burrow 18.4; standard: Brissett 18.6, Burrow 18.4 (points if he plays).
