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Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Tuesday, Mar 24

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Tuesday, Mar 24 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: STL L1 (Thomas–Holloway–Snuggerud) vs WSH.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1STLL1vs WSH0.84 xG

    Robert Thomas90%, Dylan Holloway92%, Jimmy Snuggerud78%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2CARL2vs MTL0.73 xG

    Taylor Hall29%, Logan Stankoven72%, Jackson Blake71%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3LAKL1vs CGY0.65 xG

    Anze Kopitar0.4%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin98%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4LAKL2vs CGY0.65 xG

    Trevor Moore8.9%, Quinton Byfield85%, Alex Laferriere67%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5CARL3vs MTL0.65 xG

    Sebastian Aho99%, Andrei Svechnikov97%, Seth Jarvis94%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6TBLL1vs MIN0.64 xG

    Nikita Kucherov100%, Anthony Cirelli49%, Brandon Hagel100%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7PITL2vs COL0.64 xG

    Evgeni Malkin86%, Tommy Novak42%, Egor Chinakhov50%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8DALL1vs NJD0.63 xG

    Jason Robertson100%, Mavrik Bourque33%, Wyatt Johnston100%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9MTLL1vs CAR0.62 xG

    Nick Suzuki100%, Cole Caufield100%, Juraj Slafkovský98%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10NJDL2vs DAL0.60 xG

    Connor Brown5.8%, Jesper Bratt95%, Jack Hughes99%

    Matchup factors →

By game

TOR @ BOS

CAR @ MTL

OTT @ DET

SEA @ FLA

CHI @ NYI

CBJ @ PHI

COL @ PIT

MIN @ TBL

WSH @ STL

SJS @ NSH

NJD @ DAL

VGK @ WPG

EDM @ UTA

LAK @ CGY

ANA @ VAN

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.