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Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Saturday, Apr 4

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Saturday, Apr 4 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: NSH PP1 (Stamkos–Josi–O'Reilly–Marchessault–Forsberg) vs SJS.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1NSHPP1vs SJS0.79 xG

    Steven Stamkos94%, Roman Josi98%, Ryan O'Reilly83%, Jonathan Marchessault21%, Filip Forsberg99%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2CARL1vs NYI0.73 xG

    Taylor Hall29%, Logan Stankoven72%, Jackson Blake71%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3NJDL1vs MTL0.73 xG

    Connor Brown5.8%, Jesper Bratt95%, Jack Hughes99%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4LAKL1vs TOR0.66 xG

    Anze Kopitar0.4%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin98%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5DETL1vs NYR0.65 xG

    Patrick Kane75%, Andrew Copp10.0%, Alex DeBrincat99%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6LAKL2vs TOR0.62 xG

    Trevor Moore8.9%, Quinton Byfield85%, Alex Laferriere67%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7NJDL2vs MTL0.62 xG

    Timo Meier80%, Nico Hischier96%, Dawson Mercer23%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8MTLL1vs NJD0.61 xG

    Nick Suzuki100%, Cole Caufield100%, Juraj Slafkovský98%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9MINL1vs OTT0.60 xG

    Mats Zuccarello46%, Ryan Hartman36%, Kirill Kaprizov98%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10VGKPP1vs EDM0.59 xG

    Mark Stone94%, Tomas Hertl85%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%

    Matchup factors →

By game

DET @ NYR

MIN @ OTT

COL @ DAL

BOS @ TBL

FLA @ PIT

MTL @ NJD

BUF @ WSH

NYI @ CAR

WPG @ CBJ

UTA @ VAN

TOR @ LAK

VGK @ EDM

CGY @ ANA

NSH @ SJS

CHI @ SEA

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.