Who to start · 2025-26
Andrei Vasilevskiy vs Carter Hart
In 2025-26, Andrei Vasilevskiy posted a .912 save percentage to Carter Hart's .891.
Against our expected-goals model, Vasilevskiy saved +19.5 goals and Hart −2.2.
This week Vasilevskiy has 3 games left (about 2.2 expected starts) with 3 tough matchups; Hart has 3 left (about 2.1 expected starts) with 2 soft matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Hart for 5.0 to Vasilevskiy's 4.3 over the games left.
Andrei Vasilevskiy has the better number in 10 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Vasilevskiy's biggest edges: Saves 1,353, Wins 39, Games started 58.
Hart's biggest edges: Goals against 46.
In standard categories (W, GAA, SV%), the default in Who Should I Start, Andrei Vasilevskiy rates ahead, +4.0 to +2.5 in summed category z-scores.
- • Vasilevskiy has played 6 of the Lightning's 7 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
- • 2026-27 so far: 6 GP, 4 W, .886 SV%.
- • Hart has played 6 of the Golden Knights' 9 games since Sep 29 (in and out of the lineup).
- • 2026-27 so far: 6 GP, 4 W, .911 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning · Vegas Golden Knights · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Andrei Vasilevskiy
+4.0
category z-score total
Carter Hart
+2.5
category z-score total
Under Standard (3 categories), Andrei Vasilevskiy has the edge (Vasilevskiy wins 3, Hart wins 0 of 3 categories).
| Category | Vasilevskiy | Hart |
|---|---|---|
| Wins / game | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| GAA (lower wins) | 2.37 | 2.60 |
| Save % | 0.905 | 0.897 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Vasilevskiy vs Hart
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2022-23: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Vasilevskiy | Hart |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-07 | TBL 5–2 PHI | 33/35 SV | 34/39 SV |
| 2022-12-01 | TBL 4–1 PHI | 21/22 SV | 23/27 SV |
| 2022-10-18 | TBL 2–3 PHI | 21/24 SV | 36/38 SV |
| 2021-12-05 | TBL 7–1 PHI | 0/0 SV | 10/15 SV |
| 2021-11-23 | TBL 4–0 PHI | 34/34 SV | 31/35 SV |
| 2021-11-18 | TBL 4–3 PHI | 27/30 SV | 29/32 SV |
| 2020-02-15 | TBL 5–3 PHI | 30/33 SV | 19/23 SV |
| 2020-01-11 | TBL 1–0 PHI | 23/23 SV | 27/28 SV |
| 2019-02-19 | TBL 5–2 PHI | 0/0 SV | 6/9 SV |
| 2018-12-27 | TBL 6–5 PHI | 28/33 SV | 0/0 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed and, for goalies, weighted by the chance he starts, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (W 4, GA -2, SV 0.2, SO 3, OTL 1). Use your league's scoring
Andrei Vasilevskiy
3games
4.3proj. ESPN default pts
About 2.2 expected starts
- Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to Gvs Carter Hart (.891)
- Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
Carter Hart
3games
5.0proj. ESPN default pts
About 2.1 expected starts
- Opp allows 7th-most FP to Gvs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Opp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Andrei Vasilevskiy or Carter Hart?
- In 2025-26, Andrei Vasilevskiy posted a .912 save percentage to Carter Hart's .891. Against our expected-goals model, Vasilevskiy saved +19.5 goals and Hart −2.2. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Andrei Vasilevskiy or Carter Hart?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Andrei Vasilevskiy leads in 10 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Vasilevskiy and Hart done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Vasilevskiy's team went 9–1.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →