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Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Monday, Mar 9

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Monday, Mar 9 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: UTA L1 (Schmaltz–Keller–Guenther) vs CHI.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1UTAL1vs CHI0.83 xG

    Nick Schmaltz97%, Clayton Keller100%, Dylan Guenther99%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2LAKL1vs CBJ0.66 xG

    Anze Kopitar0.4%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3UTAL2vs CHI0.56 xG

    Lawson Crouse34%, JJ Peterka77%, Logan Cooley94%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4NYRPP1vs PHI0.53 xG

    Vincent Trocheck87%, Mika Zibanejad98%, Adam Fox99%, Alexis Lafrenière88%, Gabe Perreault61%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5OTTL3vs VAN0.51 xG

    Brady Tkachuk99%, Dylan Cozens89%, Ridly Greig15%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6LAKL3vs CBJ0.49 xG

    Trevor Moore8.8%, Quinton Byfield84%, Alex Laferriere67%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7OTTL2vs VAN0.49 xG

    Claude Giroux32%, Drake Batherson97%, Tim Stützle100%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8CHIL1vs UTA0.47 xG

    Andre Burakovsky5.7%, Ryan Greene9.7%, Connor Bedard97%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9CBJL2vs LAK0.47 xG

    Mason Marchment45%, Kirill Marchenko99%, Adam Fantilli91%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10OTTL1vs VAN0.43 xG

    Nick Cousins3.3%, Michael Amadio6.8%, Shane Pinto42%

    Matchup factors →

By game

LAK @ CBJ

NYR @ PHI

CGY @ WSH

UTA @ CHI

OTT @ VAN

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.