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Fantasy tools

Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Friday, Mar 13

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Friday, Mar 13 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: EDM PP1 (Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl–McDavid–Bouchard) vs STL.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1EDMPP1vs STL1.12 xG

    Zach Hyman96%, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins75%, Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Evan Bouchard100%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2NYIPP1vs LAK0.67 xG

    Brayden Schenn35%, Bo Horvat91%, Mathew Barzal82%, Calum Ritchie31%, Matthew Schaefer100%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3LAKL2vs NYI0.65 xG

    Anze Kopitar0.4%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4STLL1vs EDM0.64 xG

    Robert Thomas89%, Dylan Holloway92%, Jimmy Snuggerud78%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5LAKL1vs NYI0.62 xG

    Trevor Moore8.8%, Quinton Byfield84%, Alex Laferriere67%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6NYIL2vs LAK0.56 xG

    Bo Horvat91%, Mathew Barzal82%, Emil Heineman31%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7EDML1vs STL0.50 xG

    Zach Hyman96%, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins75%, Connor McDavid100%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8STLL2vs EDM0.38 xG

    Jordan Kyrou74%, Jake Neighbours29%, Dalibor Dvorsky29%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9NYIL1vs LAK0.34 xG

    Anders Lee29%, Jean-Gabriel Pageau11%, Simon Holmstrom16%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10EDML2vs STL0.33 xG

    Leon Draisaitl100%, Jack Roslovic35%, Vasily Podkolzin86%

    Matchup factors →

By game

LAK @ NYI

EDM @ STL

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.