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Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Thursday, Dec 3

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Thursday, Dec 3 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: EDM L1 (Draisaitl–McDavid–Podkolzin) vs WSH.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1EDML1vs WSH0.74 xG

    Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Vasily Podkolzin80%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2FLAL1vs TOR0.67 xG

    Carter Verhaeghe70%, Sam Bennett82%, Matthew Tkachuk99%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3BUFL1vs CGY0.65 xG

    Jack Quinn49%, Noah Ostlund26%, Zach Benson55%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4FLAL2vs TOR0.59 xG

    Eetu Luostarinen14%, Anton Lundell45%, Sandis Vilmanis6.4%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5NYRL1vs SJS0.58 xG

    Mika Zibanejad98%, Alexis Lafrenière79%, Gabe Perreault54%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6SEAL1vs DAL0.58 xG

    Jordan Eberle35%, Chandler Stephenson20%, Bobby McMann45%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7BUFL2vs CGY0.57 xG

    Tage Thompson100%, Josh Norris37%, Josh Doan59%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8LAKL1vs MIN0.56 xG

    Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield85%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9UTAL1vs VGK0.56 xG

    Vincent Trocheck87%, Nick Schmaltz95%, Clayton Keller99%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10TORPP1vs FLA0.55 xG

    John Tavares96%, William Nylander99%, Darren Raddysh99%, Auston Matthews99%, Kirill Marchenko98%

    Matchup factors →

By game

FLA @ TOR

NJD @ OTT

COL @ DET

SJS @ NYR

NYI @ PHI

CBJ @ CAR

CHI @ NSH

BUF @ CGY

WSH @ EDM

DAL @ SEA

UTA @ VGK

MIN @ LAK

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.