Edgehalla

Category Week Planner · 2026-27

Best blocks schedules, fantasy week 1 (Sep 28-Oct 4)

Blocked shots. The opponent factor is blocks its opponents record per game (the home scorer’s counting bias is now negligible). Teams are ranked by effective games: games this week, each weighted by how many blocks the opponent allows. VAN leads with 4.19.

Data updated:

Teams ranked for blocks

Early season: teams have played about 2 games, so the opponent factors are mostly 2025-26 numbers. This season's games count for about 20% and the share grows every week.

Teams by effective blocks games, week 1
#TeamGPEffectivePer gameOpponents (factor)
1Vancouver Canucks44.191.05@ EDM (1.02)vs EDM (1.02)vs CGY (1.13)vs VGK (1.01)
2New York Rangers44.131.03@ BOS (1.00)vs TBL (1.08)@ DET (0.98)vs UTA (1.07)
3Philadelphia Flyers33.311.10vs PIT (0.93)@ NJD (1.16)vs CAR (1.22)
4Seattle Kraken33.291.10@ CGY (1.13)@ EDM (1.02)vs CGY (1.13)
5Florida Panthers33.221.07@ CAR (1.22)@ SJS (0.95)@ ANA (1.05)
6Chicago Blackhawks33.011.00@ VGK (1.01)@ UTA (1.07)@ BUF (0.92)
7Carolina Hurricanes32.980.99vs FLA (1.12)vs WSH (0.99)@ PHI (0.88)
8Toronto Maple Leafs32.930.98vs MTL (1.00)vs NYI (0.98)vs OTT (0.95)
9Boston Bruins32.900.97vs NYR (1.02)@ WPG (0.93)@ MIN (0.95)
10Edmonton Oilers32.900.96vs VAN (1.01)@ VAN (1.01)vs SEA (0.86)
11Vegas Golden Knights32.860.95vs CHI (0.80)vs ANA (1.05)@ VAN (1.01)
12Utah Mammoth32.830.94vs CHI (0.80)@ CBJ (1.01)@ NYR (1.02)
13Calgary Flames32.740.91vs SEA (0.86)@ VAN (1.01)@ SEA (0.86)
14Washington Capitals22.301.15@ CAR (1.22)@ TBL (1.08)
15San Jose Sharks22.191.09vs FLA (1.12)vs LAK (1.07)
16Anaheim Ducks22.131.06@ VGK (1.01)vs FLA (1.12)
17Los Angeles Kings22.081.04@ COL (1.12)@ SJS (0.95)
18New York Islanders22.081.04@ TOR (0.91)vs NJD (1.16)
19Colorado Avalanche22.071.03vs LAK (1.07)vs STL (1.00)
20St. Louis Blues22.031.02@ DAL (0.91)@ COL (1.12)
21Tampa Bay Lightning22.011.01@ NYR (1.02)vs WSH (0.99)
22Columbus Blue Jackets22.001.00vs BUF (0.92)vs UTA (1.07)
23Winnipeg Jets21.980.99vs BOS (1.00)@ DET (0.98)
24Minnesota Wild21.950.98@ NSH (0.95)vs BOS (1.00)
25Detroit Red Wings21.950.98vs NYR (1.02)vs WPG (0.93)
26Dallas Stars21.950.97vs STL (1.00)@ NSH (0.95)
27Pittsburgh Penguins21.880.94@ PHI (0.88)vs MTL (1.00)
28New Jersey Devils21.860.93vs PHI (0.88)@ NYI (0.98)
29Nashville Predators21.860.93vs MIN (0.95)vs DAL (0.91)
30Montreal Canadiens21.830.92@ TOR (0.91)@ PIT (0.93)
31Buffalo Sabres21.800.90@ CBJ (1.01)vs CHI (0.80)
32Ottawa Senators10.910.91@ TOR (0.91)

Projected blocks leaders, week 1

Projected totals for the week. Off-night games in green.

Players by projected blocks, week 1
#PlayerGPBLK
1Marcus PetterssonNYR · D447.0
2Braden SchneiderNYR · D446.3
3Connor MurphyEDM · D326.2
4Cameron YorkPHI · D326.2
5Jake McCabeTOR · D326.0
6Sean DurziNYR · D446.0
7Nick SeelerPHI · D325.9
8Zach WhitecloudCGY · D325.9
9Travis SanheimPHI · D325.8
10MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D325.7
11Chris TanevTOR · D325.7
12Filip HronekVAN · D435.7
13Adam LarssonSEA · D325.5
14Charlie McAvoyBOS · D325.4
15Brayden McNabbVGK · D335.4
16Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D445.2
17Ian ColeCHI · D325.0
18Mikhail SergachevUTA · D325.0
19Elias PetterssonVAN · C435.0
20Adam FoxNYR · D444.9
21Jaccob SlavinCAR · D324.8
22Martin FehervaryWSH · D214.7
23Andrew PeekeUTA · D324.7
24Yan KuznetsovCGY · D324.7
25Connor CliftonBOS · D324.6
26Sean WalkerCAR · D324.6
27Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D334.6
28Brandt ClarkeLAK · D214.6
29Jacob MiddletonCGY · D324.6
30Noah HanifinVGK · D334.5
31Shea TheodoreVGK · D334.4
32Simon BenoitPHI · D324.4
33Jake WalmanEDM · D324.4
34Hampus LindholmBOS · D324.3
35Rasmus RistolainenPHI · D324.3
36Jonathan AspirotBOS · D324.2
37Alexandre CarrierMTL · D214.2
38Simon NemecCGY · D324.2
39Morgan RiellyTOR · D324.2
40Darnell NurseSJS · D214.2

Matchup models plugged in

  • Banger Environment Index: hits and blocksHIT, BLKLive

Until a model is live, its categories use the team opponent factors above (or volume only where those did not validate).

How it works

  1. Volume first. We count each team's games in the Monday-to-Sunday fantasy week and flag off-nights (fewer than 10 games) and back-to-backs. See games per week for the whole season.
  2. Opponents second, only where it helps. For each category we measure what every team allows per game (shots on goal against, hits and blocks its opponents record, faceoffs its opponents win, goals against). A factor of 1.10 means 10% more than the league average. We then tested out of sample whether these factors improve weekly forecasts over games times each team's own rate. They did, by a small margin, for shots on goal, hits, blocks, faceoffs won and goalie saves (where the factor is the opponent's own shots), so only those use them. Goals, assists, points, penalty minutes and goals against are volume only. The table below has the numbers.
  3. Each factor is shrunk toward average by how reliable that category is at the team level. We split last season's games into odd and even halves: when the halves agree (high split-half r), team differences are real and the factor is kept; when they do not, it is pulled toward 1. Early in the season this year's small sample is blended with last season, regressed by how well team factors carried over from one season to the next.
  4. Player rates come from rest-of-season projections: LineupExperts for goals, assists, points, PIM, shots, hits, blocks and goalie wins, saves and goals against, with our derived projection model filling power-play points, shorthanded points, plus/minus and faceoffs. Anything still missing (and shutouts) comes from our box scores, this season plus last season at half weight.
  5. Goalies: expected starts come from our goalie start model where it covers the week, otherwise from each goalie's share of projected starts, normalised so a team's goalies add up to one start per game. Wins get the Schedule Edge win-probability change for each game.
  6. The rater turns weekly totals into z-scores within the top 300 skaters and 64 goalies, then sums them with your weights. Punted categories count for nothing. SV% and GAA are scored by impact, so one start cannot top them.
For blocks, last season's split-half r was 0.85 and the year-over-year r 0.73; factors are shrunk accordingly.

Frequently asked questions

Which teams have the best blocks schedule in week 1?

VAN (4 games, 4.19 effective), NYR (4 games, 4.13 effective), PHI (3 games, 3.31 effective), SEA (3 games, 3.29 effective), FLA (3 games, 3.22 effective).

Which teams have the worst blocks schedule?

OTT (1 games), BUF (2 games), MTL (2 games), NSH (2 games), NJD (2 games).

How reliable is the opponent effect for blocks?

Last season the opponent measure (how many blocks the opponent allows) had a split-half correlation of 0.85 across the 32 teams and a year-over-year correlation of 0.73. We shrink each team's factor by that reliability. Out of sample it trims weekly forecast error by only a couple of percent, so games played matter far more.

Should I stream for one category?

In head-to-head category leagues, streaming for a close category late in the week often wins it. Volume matters most: an extra game usually beats a better opponent. Use the full week planner to see every category at once and punt the ones you cannot win.