Edgehalla

Category Week Planner · 2026-27

Best blocks schedules, fantasy week 13 (Dec 21-27)

Blocked shots. The opponent factor is blocks its opponents record per game (the home scorer’s counting bias is now negligible). Teams are ranked by effective games: games this week, each weighted by how many blocks the opponent allows. CBJ leads with 3.89.

Data updated:

Teams ranked for blocks

Early season: teams have played about 2 games, so the opponent factors are mostly 2025-26 numbers. This season's games count for about 20% and the share grows every week.

Teams by effective blocks games, week 13
#TeamGPEffectivePer gameOpponents (factor)
1Columbus Blue Jackets43.890.97@ PHI (0.88)vs MTL (1.00)@ WSH (0.99)vs EDM (1.02)
2Vegas Golden Knights33.221.07vs CAR (1.22)@ ANA (1.05)@ SJS (0.95)
3St. Louis Blues33.221.07@ FLA (1.12)@ TBL (1.08)vs NYR (1.02)
4Boston Bruins33.131.04@ NYI (0.98)vs NYI (0.98)@ NJD (1.16)
5Toronto Maple Leafs32.970.99vs WSH (0.99)@ DET (0.98)@ MTL (1.00)
6New York Islanders32.960.99vs BOS (1.00)@ BOS (1.00)vs OTT (0.95)
7New Jersey Devils32.950.98@ NYR (1.02)@ BUF (0.92)vs BOS (1.00)
8Montreal Canadiens32.830.94@ CBJ (1.01)vs TOR (0.91)vs DAL (0.91)
9Vancouver Canucks22.211.10vs UTA (1.07)@ CGY (1.13)
10New York Rangers22.161.08vs NJD (1.16)@ STL (1.00)
11Pittsburgh Penguins22.151.07vs BUF (0.92)@ CAR (1.22)
12Anaheim Ducks22.131.07vs VGK (1.01)vs COL (1.12)
13Dallas Stars22.131.07vs CGY (1.13)@ MTL (1.00)
14Tampa Bay Lightning22.121.06vs STL (1.00)@ FLA (1.12)
15Buffalo Sabres22.091.05@ PIT (0.93)vs NJD (1.16)
16Utah Mammoth22.081.04@ VAN (1.01)@ LAK (1.07)
17Florida Panthers22.081.04vs STL (1.00)vs TBL (1.08)
18Los Angeles Kings22.021.01@ MIN (0.95)vs UTA (1.07)
19Minnesota Wild22.001.00vs LAK (1.07)vs WPG (0.93)
20Carolina Hurricanes21.930.97@ VGK (1.01)vs PIT (0.93)
21Calgary Flames21.930.96@ DAL (0.91)vs VAN (1.01)
22Washington Capitals21.920.96@ TOR (0.91)vs CBJ (1.01)
23Nashville Predators21.910.95vs WPG (0.93)vs DET (0.98)
24Winnipeg Jets21.900.95@ NSH (0.95)@ MIN (0.95)
25San Jose Sharks21.870.94@ SEA (0.86)vs VGK (1.01)
26Detroit Red Wings21.860.93vs TOR (0.91)@ NSH (0.95)
27Philadelphia Flyers21.800.90vs CBJ (1.01)@ CHI (0.80)
28Colorado Avalanche11.051.05@ ANA (1.05)
29Edmonton Oilers11.011.01@ CBJ (1.01)
30Ottawa Senators10.980.98@ NYI (0.98)
31Seattle Kraken10.950.95vs SJS (0.95)
32Chicago Blackhawks10.880.88vs PHI (0.88)

Projected blocks leaders, week 13

Projected totals for the week. Off-night games in green.

Players by projected blocks, week 13
#PlayerGPBLK
1Brayden McNabbVGK · D317.3
2Colton ParaykoSTL · D326.9
3Erik GudbransonCBJ · D426.6
4Alexander RomanovNYI · D316.4
5Dante FabbroCBJ · D426.3
6Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D426.2
7Jake McCabeTOR · D316.1
8Noah DobsonMTL · D316.1
9Chris TanevTOR · D316.0
10Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D315.9
11Charlie McAvoyBOS · D315.8
12Zach WerenskiCBJ · D425.8
13Alexandre CarrierMTL · D315.7
14Mike MathesonMTL · D315.5
15Ryan PulockNYI · D315.4
16Kaiden GuhleMTL · D315.4
17Brandon CarloSTL · D325.4
18Damon SeversonCBJ · D424.9
19Denton MateychukCBJ · D424.9
20Brett PesceNJD · D314.9
21Noah HanifinVGK · D314.8
22Dylan CoghlanVGK · D314.7
23Lane HutsonMTL · D314.5
24Connor CliftonBOS · D314.4
25Esa LindellDAL · D214.4
26Hampus LindholmBOS · D314.4
27Adam PelechNYI · D314.4
28MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D214.3
29Jonathan AspirotBOS · D314.3
30Morgan RiellyTOR · D314.2
31Jeremy LauzonVGK · D314.2
32Nick BlankenburgTOR · D314.2
33Philip BrobergSTL · D324.1
34Moritz SeiderDET · D24.1
35Brandt ClarkeLAK · D24.0
36Nikita ZadorovBOS · D314.0
37Jonas BrodinMIN · D24.0
38Martin FehervaryWSH · D214.0
39Logan StanleyNYI · D313.9
40Jacob TroubaSJS · D23.9

Matchup models plugged in

  • Banger Environment Index: hits and blocksHIT, BLKComing soon

Until a model is live, its categories use the team opponent factors above (or volume only where those did not validate).

How it works

  1. Volume first. We count each team's games in the Monday-to-Sunday fantasy week and flag off-nights (fewer than 10 games) and back-to-backs. See games per week for the whole season.
  2. Opponents second, only where it helps. For each category we measure what every team allows per game (shots on goal against, hits and blocks its opponents record, faceoffs its opponents win, goals against). A factor of 1.10 means 10% more than the league average. We then tested out of sample whether these factors improve weekly forecasts over games times each team's own rate. They did, by a small margin, for shots on goal, hits, blocks, faceoffs won and goalie saves (where the factor is the opponent's own shots), so only those use them. Goals, assists, points, penalty minutes and goals against are volume only. The table below has the numbers.
  3. Each factor is shrunk toward average by how reliable that category is at the team level. We split last season's games into odd and even halves: when the halves agree (high split-half r), team differences are real and the factor is kept; when they do not, it is pulled toward 1. Early in the season this year's small sample is blended with last season, regressed by how well team factors carried over from one season to the next.
  4. Player rates come from rest-of-season projections: LineupExperts for goals, assists, points, PIM, shots, hits, blocks and goalie wins, saves and goals against, with our derived projection model filling power-play points, shorthanded points, plus/minus and faceoffs. Anything still missing (and shutouts) comes from our box scores, this season plus last season at half weight.
  5. Goalies: expected starts come from our goalie start model where it covers the week, otherwise from each goalie's share of projected starts, normalised so a team's goalies add up to one start per game. Wins get the Schedule Edge win-probability change for each game.
  6. The rater turns weekly totals into z-scores within the top 300 skaters and 64 goalies, then sums them with your weights. Punted categories count for nothing. SV% and GAA are scored by impact, so one start cannot top them.
For blocks, last season's split-half r was 0.85 and the year-over-year r 0.73; factors are shrunk accordingly.

Frequently asked questions

Which teams have the best blocks schedule in week 13?

CBJ (4 games, 3.89 effective), VGK (3 games, 3.22 effective), STL (3 games, 3.22 effective), BOS (3 games, 3.13 effective), TOR (3 games, 2.97 effective).

Which teams have the worst blocks schedule?

CHI (1 games), SEA (1 games), OTT (1 games), EDM (1 games), COL (1 games).

How reliable is the opponent effect for blocks?

Last season the opponent measure (how many blocks the opponent allows) had a split-half correlation of 0.85 across the 32 teams and a year-over-year correlation of 0.73. We shrink each team's factor by that reliability. Out of sample it trims weekly forecast error by only a couple of percent, so games played matter far more.

Should I stream for one category?

In head-to-head category leagues, streaming for a close category late in the week often wins it. Volume matters most: an extra game usually beats a better opponent. Use the full week planner to see every category at once and punt the ones you cannot win.