Arena scorer bias · Minnesota Wild
Grand Casino Arena: how its scorers counted hits
In 2023-24 the Grand Casino Arena crew credited 5% fewer hits than Wild road games (raw), ranking 20 of 32 after shrinkage (0.97). With central recording, the 2025-26 factor is 1.00: in that season the building did not change the count.
Grand Casino Arena: hits and blocks factor by season
Solid = shrunk factor we use, dashed = raw home ÷ road ratio; 1.00 = neutral
Grand Casino Arena hits factor by season (shrunk): 2017-18 0.78, 2018-19 0.84, 2019-20 0.72, 2020-21 0.78, 2021-22 0.85, 2022-23 0.91, 2023-24 0.97, 2024-25 1.01, 2025-26 1.00.
- Hits (shrunk)
- Hits (raw)
- Blocks (shrunk)
Every stat, every season
| Season | Hits | Blocked shots | Giveaways | Takeaways | Missed shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1.00 (0.95) | 1.00 (0.92) | 1.00 (1.04) | 1.00 (0.97) | 0.98 (0.92) |
| 2024-25 | 1.01 (1.04) | 0.98 (0.88) | 1.00 (1.01) | 1.00 (0.96) | 0.95 (0.86) |
| 2023-24 | 0.97 (0.95) | 0.99 (0.95) | 0.93 (0.92) | 0.87 (0.80) | 0.97 (0.95) |
| 2022-23 | 0.91 (0.88) | 0.97 (0.93) | 0.73 (0.60) | 0.94 (0.91) | 0.98 (0.94) |
| 2021-22 | 0.85 (0.76) | 0.96 (0.95) | 0.81 (0.73) | 0.89 (0.81) | 1.00 (1.00) |
| 2020-21 | 0.78 (0.68) | 0.98 (0.96) | 0.86 (0.79) | 0.98 (0.98) | 0.92 (0.88) |
| 2019-20 | 0.72 (0.63) | 0.99 (0.99) | 0.52 (0.43) | 0.86 (0.82) | 0.99 (0.98) |
| 2018-19 | 0.84 (0.79) | 0.91 (0.88) | 0.50 (0.42) | 0.88 (0.86) | 1.01 (1.02) |
| 2017-18 | 0.78 (0.72) | 0.96 (0.94) | 0.51 (0.42) | 0.81 (0.75) | 0.99 (0.98) |
Wild hits and blocks in 2025-26
The Wild have absorbed 18.5 hits per game (#28 in the league), delivered 21.2, and blocked 15.5 of the 60.4 shot attempts they face per game, over 82 games. Their own shots hit a teammate 1.5 times a game; the play-by-play logs those as blocked shots but nobody is credited. Opponents facing a team that absorbs many hits get a higher hit environment in Hits tonight.
Wild hitters at home vs on the road, 2025-26
*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. Central recording season: differences here are role and opponents, not the scorer. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.
| Player | GP | Hits | Adjusted | Home /60 | Road /60 | Home vs road* | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yakov TreninC | 82 | 413 | 413 | 22.0 | 23.4 | 0.90× | – |
| Michael McCarronC | 79 | 205 | 205 | 10.3 | 11.9 | 0.83× | – |
| Marcus FolignoL | 56 | 180 | 180 | 16.7 | 13.7 | 1.17× | – |
| Nick FolignoL | 54 | 128 | 128 | 12.3 | 10.3 | 1.15× | – |
| Joel Eriksson EkC | 70 | 106 | 106 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 1.28× | – |
| Jake MiddletonD | 75 | 87 | 87 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 0.90× | – |
| Jared SpurgeonD | 79 | 82 | 82 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 0.63× | – |
| Bobby BrinkR | 68 | 80 | 80 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 0.95× | – |
| Tyler PitlickC | 32 | 78 | 78 | 16.9 | 20.9 | 0.77× | – |
| Jeff PetryD | 67 | 66 | 66 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 1.27× | – |
| Ryan HartmanR | 76 | 64 | 64 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.64× | – |
| Danila YurovR | 73 | 62 | 62 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 0.58× | – |
| Vladimir TarasenkoR | 75 | 60 | 60 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 1.46× | – |
| Matt BoldyL | 76 | 60 | 60 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.72× | – |
| Ben JonesC | 28 | 58 | 58 | 16.8 | 10.3 | 1.56× | – |
Wild hitters at home vs on the road, 2023-24
*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.
| Player | GP | Hits | Adjusted | Home /60 | Road /60 | Home vs road* | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus FolignoL | 55 | 179 | 181 | 13.9 | 13.0 | 1.03× | – |
| Joel Eriksson EkC | 77 | 168 | 170 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 1.05× | – |
| Jake MiddletonD | 80 | 148 | 149 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0.98× | – |
| Zach BogosianD | 65 | 109 | 111 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 1.32× | – |
| Ryan HartmanR | 74 | 75 | 75 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.17× | – |
| Brock FaberD | 82 | 65 | 66 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.26× | – |
| Kirill KaprizovL | 75 | 55 | 55 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.00× | – |
| Vinni LettieriC | 46 | 53 | 54 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 1.16× | – |
| Dakota MermisD | 47 | 45 | 45 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 0.87× | – |
| Marcus JohanssonL | 78 | 44 | 44 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 0.49× | – |
| Jon MerrillD | 65 | 37 | 37 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.43× | – |
| Marco RossiC | 82 | 35 | 36 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.64× | – |
| Matt BoldyL | 75 | 33 | 33 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.95× | – |
| Mason ShawC | 20 | 29 | 30 | 9.5 | 11.6 | 0.80× | – |
| Alex GoligoskiD | 36 | 27 | 27 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.80× | – |
FAQ
Does Grand Casino Arena inflate hits?
In 2023-24, the last season with arena crews whose habits repeated, Grand Casino Arena credited 3% fewer hits than Minnesota Wild road games after shrinkage. In 2025-26, with central recording, its factor is 1.00.
Should I adjust Minnesota Wild players' hits for their arena?
Mainly for seasons up to 2023-24. After the NHL centralised event recording in 2024-25 the factors shrank to within about ±6%, and in 2025-26 they were 1.00 everywhere, so current hits need no adjustment. Use the adjusted hits leaderboard for older seasons.