Arena scorer bias · Nashville Predators
Bridgestone Arena: how its scorers counted hits
In 2023-24 the Bridgestone Arena crew credited 3% fewer hits than Predators road games (raw), ranking 16 of 32 after shrinkage (0.98). With central recording, the 2025-26 factor is 1.00: in that season the building did not change the count.
Bridgestone Arena: hits and blocks factor by season
Solid = shrunk factor we use, dashed = raw home ÷ road ratio; 1.00 = neutral
Bridgestone Arena hits factor by season (shrunk): 2017-18 0.84, 2018-19 0.81, 2019-20 0.69, 2020-21 0.79, 2021-22 0.92, 2022-23 1.02, 2023-24 0.98, 2024-25 1.02, 2025-26 1.00.
- Hits (shrunk)
- Hits (raw)
- Blocks (shrunk)
Every stat, every season
| Season | Hits | Blocked shots | Giveaways | Takeaways | Missed shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1.00 (0.98) | 1.00 (0.95) | 1.00 (1.03) | 1.00 (1.06) | 0.98 (0.91) |
| 2024-25 | 1.02 (1.05) | 1.00 (0.99) | 1.00 (1.06) | 1.00 (1.03) | 0.96 (0.89) |
| 2023-24 | 0.98 (0.97) | 1.00 (0.99) | 1.46 (1.55) | 1.09 (1.14) | 0.94 (0.90) |
| 2022-23 | 1.02 (1.02) | 0.97 (0.95) | 1.07 (1.10) | 1.01 (1.01) | 1.02 (1.05) |
| 2021-22 | 0.92 (0.87) | 0.94 (0.91) | 1.19 (1.27) | 1.17 (1.28) | 1.00 (1.00) |
| 2020-21 | 0.79 (0.69) | 0.94 (0.88) | 1.11 (1.17) | 1.02 (1.03) | 1.05 (1.07) |
| 2019-20 | 0.69 (0.60) | 0.93 (0.91) | 0.94 (0.93) | 1.00 (1.00) | 1.01 (1.01) |
| 2018-19 | 0.81 (0.76) | 0.92 (0.89) | 1.11 (1.13) | 0.88 (0.86) | 1.00 (1.00) |
| 2017-18 | 0.84 (0.79) | 0.95 (0.92) | 1.29 (1.33) | 1.03 (1.04) | 0.93 (0.90) |
Predators hits and blocks in 2025-26
The Predators have absorbed 20.3 hits per game (#16 in the league), delivered 19.2, and blocked 12.3 of the 56.6 shot attempts they face per game, over 82 games. Their own shots hit a teammate 1.9 times a game; the play-by-play logs those as blocked shots but nobody is credited. Opponents facing a team that absorbs many hits get a higher hit environment in Hits tonight.
Predators hitters at home vs on the road, 2025-26
*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. Central recording season: differences here are role and opponents, not the scorer. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.
| Player | GP | Hits | Adjusted | Home /60 | Road /60 | Home vs road* | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip ForsbergL | 82 | 124 | 124 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 0.82× | – |
| Erik HaulaL | 81 | 118 | 118 | 5.9 | 4.6 | 1.22× | – |
| Reid SchaeferL | 47 | 108 | 108 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 0.96× | – |
| Ozzy WiesblattC | 40 | 100 | 100 | 16.1 | 13.0 | 1.19× | – |
| Steven StamkosC | 82 | 89 | 89 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 0.74× | – |
| Nicolas HagueD | 62 | 76 | 76 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 1.22× | – |
| Jonathan MarchessaultR | 62 | 75 | 75 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 1.01× | – |
| Brady SkjeiD | 82 | 70 | 70 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.91× | – |
| Tyson JostC | 69 | 67 | 67 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.45× | – |
| Zachary L'HeureuxL | 25 | 64 | 64 | 13.0 | 10.3 | 1.21× | – |
| Fedor SvechkovC | 70 | 60 | 60 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 0.58× | – |
| Matthew WoodR | 71 | 53 | 53 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.52× | – |
| Justin BarronD | 52 | 37 | 37 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.69× | – |
| Nick PerbixD | 79 | 31 | 31 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.14× | – |
| Adam WilsbyD | 58 | 28 | 28 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.35× | – |
Predators hitters at home vs on the road, 2023-24
*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.
| Player | GP | Hits | Adjusted | Home /60 | Road /60 | Home vs road* | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy LauzonD | 79 | 383 | 387 | 15.5 | 15.8 | 0.95× | – |
| Cole SmithR | 80 | 235 | 236 | 13.4 | 12.3 | 1.05× | – |
| Kiefer SherwoodL | 68 | 234 | 237 | 18.2 | 15.6 | 1.12× | – |
| Luke SchennD | 63 | 202 | 205 | 12.1 | 13.2 | 0.89× | – |
| Michael McCarronC | 70 | 142 | 144 | 11.0 | 7.9 | 1.34× | – |
| Filip ForsbergL | 82 | 141 | 142 | 6.1 | 4.8 | 1.24× | – |
| Colton SissonsC | 81 | 137 | 137 | 6.4 | 5.9 | 1.05× | – |
| Jason ZuckerL | 69 | 98 | 97 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 0.86× | – |
| Juuso ParssinenC | 44 | 62 | 61 | 5.3 | 6.4 | 0.80× | – |
| Alexandre CarrierD | 73 | 60 | 61 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.09× | – |
| Jaret Anderson-DolanC | 31 | 56 | 57 | 8.2 | 11.4 | 0.69× | – |
| Anthony BeauvillierR | 60 | 53 | 54 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 0.79× | – |
| Roman JosiD | 82 | 46 | 47 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.76× | – |
| Dante FabbroD | 56 | 45 | 45 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 0.78× | – |
| Ryan McDonaghD | 74 | 38 | 38 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.87× | – |
FAQ
Does Bridgestone Arena inflate hits?
In 2023-24, the last season with arena crews whose habits repeated, Bridgestone Arena credited 2% fewer hits than Nashville Predators road games after shrinkage. In 2025-26, with central recording, its factor is 1.00.
Should I adjust Nashville Predators players' hits for their arena?
Mainly for seasons up to 2023-24. After the NHL centralised event recording in 2024-25 the factors shrank to within about ±6%, and in 2025-26 they were 1.00 everywhere, so current hits need no adjustment. Use the adjusted hits leaderboard for older seasons.