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Arena scorer bias · New Jersey Devils

Prudential Center: how its scorers counted hits

In 2023-24 the Prudential Center crew credited 13% fewer hits than Devils road games (raw), ranking 29 of 32 after shrinkage (0.92). With central recording, the 2025-26 factor is 1.00: in that season the building did not change the count.

Prudential Center: hits and blocks factor by season

Solid = shrunk factor we use, dashed = raw home ÷ road ratio; 1.00 = neutral

Prudential Center hits factor by season (shrunk): 2017-18 1.00, 2018-19 0.82, 2019-20 0.94, 2020-21 0.88, 2021-22 0.93, 2022-23 0.82, 2023-24 0.92, 2024-25 0.95, 2025-26 1.00.

0.600.801.001.201.40centralised recordingneutral’17–18’18–19’19–20’20–21’21–22’22–23’23–24’24–25’25–26
  • Hits (shrunk)
  • Hits (raw)
  • Blocks (shrunk)

Every stat, every season

Prudential Center shrunk scorer factor by stat and season (raw in brackets).
SeasonHitsBlocked shotsGiveawaysTakeawaysMissed shots
2025-261.00 (0.97)1.00 (0.99)1.00 (0.94)1.00 (1.03)0.99 (0.95)
2024-250.95 (0.88)1.00 (1.00)1.00 (0.99)1.00 (0.79)1.01 (1.02)
2023-240.92 (0.87)1.01 (1.05)0.83 (0.80)1.03 (1.04)1.00 (1.00)
2022-230.82 (0.75)1.02 (1.03)0.94 (0.91)0.90 (0.86)1.01 (1.03)
2021-220.93 (0.89)0.94 (0.92)1.06 (1.08)1.18 (1.29)1.08 (1.13)
2020-210.88 (0.82)0.89 (0.78)1.12 (1.20)1.19 (1.26)1.01 (1.02)
2019-200.94 (0.92)0.86 (0.83)0.82 (0.79)1.08 (1.11)1.02 (1.05)
2018-190.82 (0.77)0.84 (0.78)0.72 (0.68)1.06 (1.07)1.05 (1.07)
2017-181.00 (0.99)0.80 (0.71)0.81 (0.78)1.19 (1.25)0.95 (0.92)

Devils hits and blocks in 2025-26

The Devils have absorbed 19.7 hits per game (#20 in the league), delivered 18.5, and blocked 13.8 of the 55.4 shot attempts they face per game, over 82 games. Their own shots hit a teammate 1.4 times a game; the play-by-play logs those as blocked shots but nobody is credited. Opponents facing a team that absorbs many hits get a higher hit environment in Hits tonight.

Devils hitters at home vs on the road, 2025-26

*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. Central recording season: differences here are role and opponents, not the scorer. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.

New Jersey Devils skaters' home and road hit rates in 2025-26
PlayerGPHitsAdjustedHome /60Road /60Home vs road*Flag
Brenden DillonD822022027.49.00.78×–
Paul CotterL7919219216.111.21.38×–
Timo MeierR771311315.45.60.92×–
Nick BjugstadC611081089.110.50.83×–
Jonas SiegenthalerD8292923.53.40.98×–
Dougie HamiltonD7787872.93.40.84×–
Maxim TsyplakovR49838311.510.91.01×–
Jesper BrattL8274743.22.61.16×–
Nico HischierC8258582.31.81.21×–
Arseny GritsyukR6658583.03.90.74×–
Johnathan KovacevicD3457574.96.60.71×–
Cody GlassC7042422.72.51.03×–
Juho LammikkoC2440409.210.90.81×–
Stefan NoesenR3833335.03.91.24×–
Dawson MercerC8233331.01.70.54×–

Devils hitters at home vs on the road, 2023-24

*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.

New Jersey Devils skaters' home and road hit rates in 2023-24
PlayerGPHitsAdjustedHome /60Road /60Home vs road*Flag
Curtis LazarC7117918713.610.81.21×–
Kevin BahlD821511566.06.70.87×–
Nathan BastianR5414314916.614.71.09×–
Brendan SmithD631171206.97.00.95×–
Timo MeierR691111166.94.11.62×–
Michael McLeodC451011059.78.11.15×–
Erik HaulaL7694974.84.01.15×–
Ondrej PalatL7192965.14.91.00×–
Jonas SiegenthalerD5787914.84.70.99×–
Kurtis MacDermidL45838523.622.11.03×–
Jesper BrattL8266682.42.60.90×–
Nico HischierC7144472.51.31.91×–
Alexander HoltzR8244451.44.00.34×–
John MarinoD7539401.02.00.51×–
Tomas NosekL3633344.15.50.72×–

FAQ

Does Prudential Center inflate hits?

In 2023-24, the last season with arena crews whose habits repeated, Prudential Center credited 8% fewer hits than New Jersey Devils road games after shrinkage. In 2025-26, with central recording, its factor is 1.00.

Should I adjust New Jersey Devils players' hits for their arena?

Mainly for seasons up to 2023-24. After the NHL centralised event recording in 2024-25 the factors shrank to within about ±6%, and in 2025-26 they were 1.00 everywhere, so current hits need no adjustment. Use the adjusted hits leaderboard for older seasons.