Arena scorer bias · Ottawa Senators
Canadian Tire Centre: how its scorers counted hits
In 2023-24 the Canadian Tire Centre crew credited 1% more hits than Senators road games (raw), ranking 14 of 32 after shrinkage (1.00). With central recording, the 2025-26 factor is 1.00: in that season the building did not change the count.
Canadian Tire Centre: hits and blocks factor by season
Solid = shrunk factor we use, dashed = raw home ÷ road ratio; 1.00 = neutral
Canadian Tire Centre hits factor by season (shrunk): 2017-18 1.17, 2018-19 1.18, 2019-20 1.14, 2020-21 1.09, 2021-22 0.98, 2022-23 1.03, 2023-24 1.00, 2024-25 1.00, 2025-26 1.00.
- Hits (shrunk)
- Hits (raw)
- Blocks (shrunk)
Every stat, every season
| Season | Hits | Blocked shots | Giveaways | Takeaways | Missed shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1.00 (0.96) | 1.00 (1.07) | 1.00 (1.01) | 1.00 (1.00) | 1.00 (0.99) |
| 2024-25 | 1.00 (1.01) | 1.01 (1.03) | 1.00 (1.00) | 1.00 (0.97) | 0.94 (0.86) |
| 2023-24 | 1.00 (1.01) | 0.99 (0.97) | 1.50 (1.59) | 1.01 (1.02) | 0.94 (0.89) |
| 2022-23 | 1.03 (1.05) | 0.99 (0.97) | 1.11 (1.17) | 0.82 (0.74) | 0.98 (0.96) |
| 2021-22 | 0.98 (0.96) | 1.01 (1.01) | 1.07 (1.10) | 0.80 (0.66) | 1.05 (1.08) |
| 2020-21 | 1.09 (1.14) | 0.98 (0.97) | 0.95 (0.92) | 0.90 (0.87) | 1.03 (1.04) |
| 2019-20 | 1.14 (1.18) | 1.18 (1.23) | 1.07 (1.09) | 0.83 (0.78) | 1.03 (1.06) |
| 2018-19 | 1.18 (1.23) | 1.06 (1.08) | 1.28 (1.32) | 0.83 (0.80) | 1.08 (1.11) |
| 2017-18 | 1.17 (1.23) | 1.03 (1.04) | 1.08 (1.09) | 0.85 (0.81) | 0.95 (0.93) |
Senators hits and blocks in 2025-26
The Senators have absorbed 23.2 hits per game (#3 in the league), delivered 23.8, and blocked 13.4 of the 51.0 shot attempts they face per game, over 82 games. Their own shots hit a teammate 1.4 times a game; the play-by-play logs those as blocked shots but nobody is credited. Opponents facing a team that absorbs many hits get a higher hit environment in Hits tonight.
Senators hitters at home vs on the road, 2025-26
*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. Central recording season: differences here are role and opponents, not the scorer. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.
| Player | GP | Hits | Adjusted | Home /60 | Road /60 | Home vs road* | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan CozensC | 82 | 215 | 215 | 8.6 | 9.9 | 0.84× | – |
| Nick CousinsC | 81 | 169 | 169 | 10.6 | 11.4 | 0.89× | – |
| Brady TkachukL | 60 | 162 | 162 | 9.7 | 9.4 | 0.98× | – |
| Fabian ZetterlundL | 82 | 155 | 155 | 9.6 | 8.0 | 1.16× | – |
| Tyler KlevenD | 70 | 126 | 126 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 1.34× | – |
| Tim StützleC | 80 | 126 | 126 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 0.73× | – |
| Drake BathersonR | 79 | 122 | 122 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 1.59× | – |
| Michael AmadioR | 81 | 105 | 105 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 1.02× | – |
| Ridly GreigC | 77 | 96 | 96 | 5.7 | 3.1 | 1.75× | – |
| Shane PintoC | 72 | 94 | 94 | 3.4 | 5.0 | 0.65× | – |
| Warren FoegeleL | 68 | 74 | 74 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 0.99× | – |
| Artem ZubD | 81 | 66 | 66 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.14× | – |
| Claude GirouxR | 82 | 65 | 65 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.28× | – |
| Jordan SpenceD | 73 | 55 | 55 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.97× | – |
| Lars EllerC | 68 | 50 | 50 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 0.76× | – |
Senators hitters at home vs on the road, 2023-24
*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.
| Player | GP | Hits | Adjusted | Home /60 | Road /60 | Home vs road* | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady TkachukL | 81 | 294 | 291 | 12.8 | 10.0 | 1.24× | – |
| Parker KellyC | 80 | 171 | 168 | 12.3 | 9.7 | 1.22× | – |
| Artem ZubD | 69 | 139 | 138 | 6.2 | 5.3 | 1.13× | – |
| Ridly GreigC | 72 | 129 | 127 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 0.79× | – |
| Mark KastelicC | 63 | 126 | 125 | 17.0 | 14.4 | 1.14× | – |
| Mathieu JosephR | 72 | 105 | 105 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 1.16× | – |
| Tim StützleC | 75 | 100 | 100 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 0.67× | – |
| Drake BathersonR | 82 | 98 | 97 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 1.33× | – |
| Josh NorrisC | 50 | 86 | 86 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 1.11× | – |
| Boris KatchoukL | 59 | 82 | 84 | 9.2 | 5.9 | 1.50× | – |
| Jakob ChychrunD | 82 | 72 | 71 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.71× | – |
| Jacob Bernard-DockerD | 72 | 62 | 62 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 0.80× | – |
| Dominik KubalikL | 74 | 55 | 54 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0.98× | – |
| Zack MacEwenR | 30 | 55 | 54 | 22.6 | 13.3 | 1.64× | – |
| Travis HamonicD | 48 | 54 | 53 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 0.87× | – |
FAQ
Does Canadian Tire Centre inflate hits?
In 2023-24, the last season with arena crews whose habits repeated, Canadian Tire Centre credited 0% more hits than Ottawa Senators road games after shrinkage. In 2025-26, with central recording, its factor is 1.00.
Should I adjust Ottawa Senators players' hits for their arena?
Mainly for seasons up to 2023-24. After the NHL centralised event recording in 2024-25 the factors shrank to within about ±6%, and in 2025-26 they were 1.00 everywhere, so current hits need no adjustment. Use the adjusted hits leaderboard for older seasons.