Arena scorer bias · Toronto Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena: how its scorers counted hits
In 2023-24 the Scotiabank Arena crew credited 46% more hits than Maple Leafs road games (raw), ranking 1 of 32 after shrinkage (1.28). With central recording, the 2025-26 factor is 1.00: in that season the building did not change the count.
Scotiabank Arena: hits and blocks factor by season
Solid = shrunk factor we use, dashed = raw home ÷ road ratio; 1.00 = neutral
Scotiabank Arena hits factor by season (shrunk): 2017-18 1.09, 2018-19 1.10, 2019-20 1.03, 2020-21 1.07, 2021-22 1.15, 2022-23 1.24, 2023-24 1.28, 2024-25 1.03, 2025-26 1.00.
- Hits (shrunk)
- Hits (raw)
- Blocks (shrunk)
Every stat, every season
| Season | Hits | Blocked shots | Giveaways | Takeaways | Missed shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1.00 (1.08) | 1.00 (0.95) | 1.00 (1.01) | 1.00 (1.07) | 0.97 (0.88) |
| 2024-25 | 1.03 (1.09) | 0.99 (0.94) | 1.00 (1.05) | 1.00 (1.02) | 0.97 (0.92) |
| 2023-24 | 1.28 (1.46) | 0.99 (0.94) | 1.24 (1.28) | 1.09 (1.14) | 1.02 (1.03) |
| 2022-23 | 1.24 (1.32) | 0.98 (0.95) | 1.25 (1.37) | 1.17 (1.24) | 1.01 (1.04) |
| 2021-22 | 1.15 (1.24) | 1.01 (1.02) | 1.26 (1.37) | 1.17 (1.28) | 1.07 (1.11) |
| 2020-21 | 1.07 (1.10) | 0.97 (0.95) | 1.21 (1.34) | 1.16 (1.21) | 1.06 (1.09) |
| 2019-20 | 1.03 (1.04) | 1.00 (1.00) | 1.12 (1.15) | 1.12 (1.15) | 1.11 (1.21) |
| 2018-19 | 1.10 (1.13) | 1.06 (1.08) | 1.19 (1.22) | 1.04 (1.04) | 1.13 (1.19) |
| 2017-18 | 1.09 (1.12) | 1.00 (1.00) | 1.22 (1.26) | 1.03 (1.03) | 1.12 (1.18) |
Maple Leafs hits and blocks in 2025-26
The Maple Leafs have absorbed 18.2 hits per game (#30 in the league), delivered 22.8, and blocked 15.1 of the 64.2 shot attempts they face per game, over 82 games. Their own shots hit a teammate 1.1 times a game; the play-by-play logs those as blocked shots but nobody is credited. Opponents facing a team that absorbs many hits get a higher hit environment in Hits tonight.
Maple Leafs hitters at home vs on the road, 2025-26
*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. Central recording season: differences here are role and opponents, not the scorer. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.
| Player | GP | Hits | Adjusted | Home /60 | Road /60 | Home vs road* | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota JoshuaC | 55 | 195 | 195 | 18.0 | 16.8 | 1.03× | – |
| Simon BenoitD | 73 | 194 | 194 | 8.5 | 10.0 | 0.82× | – |
| Steven LorentzC | 71 | 154 | 154 | 12.5 | 9.4 | 1.27× | – |
| Matthew KniesL | 79 | 152 | 152 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 1.32× | – |
| Jake McCabeD | 80 | 104 | 104 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 1.25× | – |
| Oliver Ekman-LarssonD | 78 | 86 | 86 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 0.87× | – |
| Nick RobertsonL | 78 | 75 | 75 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 1.23× | – |
| John TavaresC | 82 | 74 | 74 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.96× | – |
| Easton CowanR | 66 | 72 | 72 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 1.22× | – |
| Brandon CarloD | 55 | 65 | 65 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 1.06× | – |
| Philippe MyersD | 39 | 55 | 55 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 0.95× | – |
| Jacob QuillanC | 23 | 46 | 46 | 16.4 | 7.3 | 2.14× | – |
| Auston MatthewsC | 60 | 42 | 42 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.81× | – |
| Max DomiC | 80 | 37 | 37 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.61× | – |
| Morgan RiellyD | 78 | 35 | 35 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.80× | – |
Maple Leafs hitters at home vs on the road, 2023-24
*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.
| Player | GP | Hits | Adjusted | Home /60 | Road /60 | Home vs road* | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon BenoitD | 64 | 246 | 217 | 13.9 | 12.8 | 1.05× | – |
| Jake McCabeD | 73 | 219 | 191 | 10.3 | 7.2 | 1.39× | – |
| Ilya LyubushkinD | 74 | 176 | 168 | 7.6 | 9.1 | 0.81× | – |
| Matthew KniesL | 80 | 169 | 147 | 11.0 | 7.6 | 1.39× | – |
| Ryan ReavesR | 49 | 165 | 140 | 30.4 | 18.5 | 1.58× | – |
| Noah GregorL | 63 | 147 | 126 | 16.1 | 9.0 | 1.72× | – |
| John TavaresC | 80 | 134 | 115 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 1.56× | – |
| Connor DewarC | 74 | 123 | 117 | 9.3 | 7.9 | 1.14× | – |
| Bobby McMannC | 56 | 117 | 102 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 1.48× | – |
| Morgan RiellyD | 72 | 98 | 85 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.43× | – |
| Tyler BertuzziL | 80 | 98 | 84 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.59× | – |
| Timothy LiljegrenD | 55 | 92 | 80 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 1.31× | – |
| Auston MatthewsC | 81 | 89 | 75 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 1.81× | – |
| David KampfC | 78 | 84 | 75 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 0.93× | – |
| Joel EdmundsonD | 53 | 80 | 77 | 6.6 | 4.5 | 1.43× | – |
FAQ
Does Scotiabank Arena inflate hits?
In 2023-24, the last season with arena crews whose habits repeated, Scotiabank Arena credited 28% more hits than Toronto Maple Leafs road games after shrinkage. In 2025-26, with central recording, its factor is 1.00.
Should I adjust Toronto Maple Leafs players' hits for their arena?
Mainly for seasons up to 2023-24. After the NHL centralised event recording in 2024-25 the factors shrank to within about ±6%, and in 2025-26 they were 1.00 everywhere, so current hits need no adjustment. Use the adjusted hits leaderboard for older seasons.