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Arena scorer bias · Washington Capitals

Capital One Arena: how its scorers counted hits

In 2023-24 the Capital One Arena crew credited 5% more hits than Capitals road games (raw), ranking 9 of 32 after shrinkage (1.03). With central recording, the 2025-26 factor is 1.00: in that season the building did not change the count.

Capital One Arena: hits and blocks factor by season

Solid = shrunk factor we use, dashed = raw home ÷ road ratio; 1.00 = neutral

Capital One Arena hits factor by season (shrunk): 2017-18 0.96, 2018-19 0.90, 2019-20 1.06, 2020-21 0.95, 2021-22 1.03, 2022-23 1.01, 2023-24 1.03, 2024-25 1.01, 2025-26 1.00.

0.600.801.001.201.40centralised recordingneutral’17–18’18–19’19–20’20–21’21–22’22–23’23–24’24–25’25–26
  • Hits (shrunk)
  • Hits (raw)
  • Blocks (shrunk)

Every stat, every season

Capital One Arena shrunk scorer factor by stat and season (raw in brackets).
SeasonHitsBlocked shotsGiveawaysTakeawaysMissed shots
2025-261.00 (1.05)1.00 (1.04)1.00 (1.03)1.00 (0.94)0.99 (0.97)
2024-251.01 (1.02)1.02 (1.09)1.00 (1.00)1.00 (1.02)1.01 (1.03)
2023-241.03 (1.05)1.00 (1.00)1.23 (1.27)1.15 (1.24)1.03 (1.05)
2022-231.01 (1.01)1.09 (1.18)1.00 (0.99)1.04 (1.06)1.03 (1.08)
2021-221.03 (1.04)1.07 (1.10)0.77 (0.67)1.08 (1.13)1.07 (1.11)
2020-210.95 (0.93)1.11 (1.22)0.95 (0.93)1.14 (1.19)1.19 (1.29)
2019-201.06 (1.08)1.12 (1.15)1.06 (1.07)1.13 (1.17)1.05 (1.10)
2018-190.90 (0.87)1.07 (1.09)0.94 (0.93)1.22 (1.26)1.09 (1.13)
2017-180.96 (0.94)1.12 (1.17)1.03 (1.04)1.10 (1.14)1.05 (1.08)

Capitals hits and blocks in 2025-26

The Capitals have absorbed 18.5 hits per game (#27 in the league), delivered 19.7, and blocked 15.9 of the 59.5 shot attempts they face per game, over 82 games. Their own shots hit a teammate 1.2 times a game; the play-by-play logs those as blocked shots but nobody is credited. Opponents facing a team that absorbs many hits get a higher hit environment in Hits tonight.

Capitals hitters at home vs on the road, 2025-26

*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. Central recording season: differences here are role and opponents, not the scorer. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.

Washington Capitals skaters' home and road hit rates in 2025-26
PlayerGPHitsAdjustedHome /60Road /60Home vs road*Flag
Tom WilsonR721791799.16.41.36×–
Brandon DuhaimeL821591598.812.30.69×–
Alex OvechkinL821341345.55.80.91×–
Ryan LeonardR751241246.67.10.90×–
Matt RoyD791171174.14.60.86×–
Martin FehérváryD811101104.53.91.10×–
Justin SourdifC7898985.15.20.94×–
Anthony BeauvillierR8293934.44.21.02×–
Rasmus SandinD7388884.13.41.18×–
Jakob ChychrunD8058582.01.71.16×–
Ethen FrankR6253535.42.91.79×–
Hendrix LapierreC7449494.74.31.03×–
David KampfC4045455.33.91.32×–
Connor McMichaelL7845452.02.10.94×–
Timothy LiljegrenD4738382.52.40.99×–

Capitals hitters at home vs on the road, 2023-24

*Home rate ÷ road rate, divided by the league's home edge that season (1.04×). Above 1 means he is credited more at home than an average player. A player traded during the season is listed under his last team with his full-season totals.

Washington Capitals skaters' home and road hit rates in 2023-24
PlayerGPHitsAdjustedHome /60Road /60Home vs road*Flag
Beck MalenstynL8124123912.912.21.02×–
Tom WilsonR7422822811.68.81.27×–
Martin FehérváryD661881859.48.01.14×–
Alex OvechkinL791621606.95.91.12×–
Nicolas Aube-KubelR6015915615.311.01.35×–
Nic DowdC641181178.95.81.47×–
Max PaciorettyL4776746.86.70.98×–
T.J. OshieR5275745.15.20.95×–
Rasmus SandinD6875743.52.81.20×–
John CarlsonD8269681.72.20.78×–
Nick JensenD7862612.22.60.82×–
Ivan MiroshnichenkoL21504714.19.91.38×–
Alexander AlexeyevD3948476.34.21.45×–
Connor McMichaelL8045442.71.51.74×–
Aliaksei ProtasL7834341.82.00.90×–

FAQ

Does Capital One Arena inflate hits?

In 2023-24, the last season with arena crews whose habits repeated, Capital One Arena credited 3% more hits than Washington Capitals road games after shrinkage. In 2025-26, with central recording, its factor is 1.00.

Should I adjust Washington Capitals players' hits for their arena?

Mainly for seasons up to 2023-24. After the NHL centralised event recording in 2024-25 the factors shrank to within about ±6%, and in 2025-26 they were 1.00 everywhere, so current hits need no adjustment. Use the adjusted hits leaderboard for older seasons.