Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Carter Hart vs Jakub Dobes

In 2025-26, Carter Hart posted a .891 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901.

Against our expected-goals model, Hart saved −2.2 goals and Dobes +11.6.

This week Hart has 3 games left (about 2.1 expected starts) with 2 soft matchups; Dobes has 3 left (about 2.1 expected starts) with 2 soft matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Hart for 5.0 to Dobes's 1.1 over the games left.

Jakub Dobes has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Hart's biggest edges: Goals against 46, Rebounds prevented /100 −0.34, Goals-against average 2.71.

Dobes's biggest edges: Saves 1,070, Wins 29, Goals saved above expected +11.6.

In standard categories (W, GAA, SV%), the default in Who Should I Start, Carter Hart rates ahead, +2.5 to +0.1 in summed category z-scores.

  • • Hart has played 6 of the Golden Knights' 9 games since Sep 29 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 6 GP, 4 W, .911 SV%.
  • • Dobes has played 4 of the Canadiens' 7 games since Sep 29 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 4 GP, 1 W, .842 SV%.

Vegas Golden Knights · Montreal Canadiens · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Carter Hart

+2.5

category z-score total

Jakub Dobes

+0.1

category z-score total

Under Standard (3 categories), Carter Hart has the edge (Hart wins 3, Dobes wins 0 of 3 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (3 categories)
CategoryHartDobes
Wins / game0.630.59
GAA (lower wins)2.603.17
Save %0.8970.889

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head

Carter Hart and Jakub Dobes have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HartDobes

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed and, for goalies, weighted by the chance he starts, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (W 4, GA -2, SV 0.2, SO 3, OTL 1). Use your league's scoring

Carter Hart

3games

5.0proj. ESPN default pts

About 2.1 expected starts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs TBL97% to start2.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to Gvs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ STL60% to start1.1 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ CBJ54% to start1.3 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)

Jakub Dobes

3games

1.1proj. ESPN default pts

About 2.1 expected starts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs SJS97% to start0.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to GSchedule edge +13.1 win%Likely vs Alex Nedeljkovic (.896)
  • Fri, Oct 23 @ CHI55% to start0.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to GLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ WPG54% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Carter Hart or Jakub Dobes?
In 2025-26, Carter Hart posted a .891 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901. Against our expected-goals model, Hart saved −2.2 goals and Dobes +11.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Carter Hart or Jakub Dobes?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jakub Dobes leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →