Injury cascade
Who benefits when Bo Groulx is out?
Bo Groulx (C, Toronto Maple Leafs) plays 11:27 a night on L4 and PP2, with 3% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 2 games.
Based on 5 games without Bo Groulx and 19 with him. Through games of Oct 20, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+1:03 TOI · 0.2% rost
+1:00 TOI · 0.2% rost
+0:53 TOI · 5.8% rost
+0:59 TOI · 98% rost
−0:27 TOI, +9 PP% · 99% rost
+0:34 TOI · 44% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy StecherDIn 5 games without Bo Groulx, Troy Stecher played 19:40 (+1:28). | 5 | 18:11 → 19:40 | +1:03 | 0% → 3% | 0/5 | 0.2% | Games without him |
| Teddy BluegerCIn 4 games without Bo Groulx, Teddy Blueger played 13:36 (+1:29). | 4 | 12:07 → 13:36 | +1:00 | 0% → 0% | 0/4 | 0.2%▼3.1 | Games without him |
| Colton SissonsCIn 4 games without Bo Groulx, Colton Sissons played 15:52 (+1:20) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1. | 4 | 14:32 → 15:52 | +0:53 | 1% → 2% | 0/4 | 5.8%▲2.5 | Games without him |
| Darren RaddyshDIn 4 games without Bo Groulx, Darren Raddysh played 24:44 (+1:29). | 4 | 23:15 → 24:44 | +0:59 | 65% → 63% | 4/4 | 98%▲0.5 | Games without him |
| Auston MatthewsCIn 4 games without Bo Groulx, Auston Matthews played 20:07 (−0:41) and PP share went 52% → 65%. | 4 | 20:48 → 20:07 | −0:27 | 52% → 66% | 4/4 | 99% | Games without him |
| Jack RoslovicCIn 4 games without Bo Groulx, Jack Roslovic played 16:54 (+0:51). | 4 | 16:03 → 16:54 | +0:34 | 22% → 20% | 0/4 | 44%▲11 | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Bo Groulx is out?
Troy Stecher projects to gain the most (+1:03 a game). In 5 games without Bo Groulx, Troy Stecher played 19:40 (+1:28).
How many games has TOR played without Bo Groulx?
5 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 19 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.