Injury cascade
Who benefits when Brayden Yager is out?
Brayden Yager (C, Winnipeg Jets) plays 10:59 a night on L4, with 0% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 9 games.
Based on 9 games without Brayden Yager and 3 with him. Through games of Oct 20, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+2:30 TOI, +34 PP% · 84% rost
+1:51 TOI, +3 PP% · 5.8% rost
+0:49 TOI · 5.7% rost
+0:18 TOI · 12% rost
−3:09 TOI, −18 PP% · 14% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole PerfettiCIn 9 games without Brayden Yager, Cole Perfetti played 18:35 (+3:03) and took PP1 in 9 of them (0% of games with him). | 9 | 15:32 → 18:35 | +2:30 | 20% → 61% | 9/9 | 84%▲4.5 | Games without him |
| Dylan SambergDIn 9 games without Brayden Yager, Dylan Samberg played 22:43 (+2:16). | 9 | 20:27 → 22:43 | +1:51 | 0% → 4% | 0/9 | 5.8% | Games without him |
| Dylan DeMeloDIn 9 games without Brayden Yager, Dylan DeMelo played 21:25 (+0:59). | 9 | 20:26 → 21:25 | +0:49 | 0% → 0% | 0/9 | 5.7% | Games without him |
| Isak RosenRIn 9 games without Brayden Yager, Isak Rosen played 12:56 (+0:22). | 9 | 12:34 → 12:56 | +0:18 | 19% → 21% | 0/9 | 12%▼0.8 | Games without him |
| Brad LambertCIn 8 games without Brayden Yager, Brad Lambert played 9:10 (−3:56), PP share went 23% → 0% and moved up to his L4 slot in 5. | 8 | 13:06 → 9:10 | −3:09 | 23% → 0% | 0/8 | 14% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Brayden Yager is out?
Cole Perfetti projects to gain the most (+2:30 a game). In 9 games without Brayden Yager, Cole Perfetti played 18:35 (+3:03) and took PP1 in 9 of them (0% of games with him).
How many games has WPG played without Brayden Yager?
9 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 3 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.