Injury cascade
Who benefits when Danton Heinen is out?
Danton Heinen (L, Columbus Blue Jackets) plays 11:03 a night on L4, with 0% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 1 game.
Based on 11 games without Danton Heinen and 40 with him. Through games of Oct 20, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+0:23 TOI, +5 PP% · 100% rost
+0:53 TOI · 0.1% rost
+0:46 TOI · 0.1% rost
+0:05 TOI, +4 PP% · 91% rost
+0:14 TOI · 88% rost
+0:58 TOI, −4 PP% · 9.6% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach WerenskiDIn 10 games without Danton Heinen, Zach Werenski played 27:16 (+0:28) and took PP1 in 10 of them (82% of games with him). | 10 | 26:48 → 27:16 | +0:23 | 63% → 69% | 10/10 | 100% | Games without him |
| Ryan LombergLIn 1 game without Danton Heinen, Ryan Lomberg played 11:10 (+2:38). | 1 | 8:32 → 11:10 | +0:53 | 0% → 0% | 0/1 | 0.1% | Games without him |
| Jake ChristiansenDIn 5 games without Danton Heinen, Jake Christiansen played 11:30 (+1:04). | 5 | 10:25 → 11:30 | +0:46 | 0% → 0% | 0/5 | 0.1% | Games without him |
| Matthew KniesLIn 1 game without Danton Heinen, Matthew Knies played 18:36 (+0:16) and PP share went 55% → 68%. | 1 | 18:20 → 18:36 | +0:05 | 55% → 68% | 1/1 | 91%▼3.9 | Games without him |
| Adam FantilliCIn 11 games without Danton Heinen, Adam Fantilli played 19:32 (+0:17). | 11 | 19:15 → 19:32 | +0:14 | 58% → 60% | 10/11 | 88%▼2.5 | Games without him |
| Luca Del Bel BelluzCIn 1 game without Danton Heinen, Luca Del Bel Belluz played 11:54 (+2:55) and PP share went 11% → 0%. | 1 | 8:59 → 11:54 | +0:58 | 11% → 0% | 0/1 | 9.6% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Danton Heinen is out?
Zach Werenski projects to gain the most (+0:23 a game). In 10 games without Danton Heinen, Zach Werenski played 27:16 (+0:28) and took PP1 in 10 of them (82% of games with him).
How many games has CBJ played without Danton Heinen?
11 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 40 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.