Injury cascade
Who benefits when Dylan McIlrath is out?
Dylan McIlrath (D, Washington Capitals) plays 7:50 a night on D3, with 0% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 4 games.
Based on 65 games without Dylan McIlrath and 16 with him. Through games of Oct 20, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+0:58 TOI, +8 PP% · 40% rost
+0:26 TOI · 47% rost
+0:30 TOI · 31% rost
+0:28 TOI · 68% rost
+0:15 TOI · 4.0% rost
+0:31 TOI · 79% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya ProtasLIn 7 games without Dylan McIlrath, Ilya Protas played 14:09 (+1:14) and took PP1 in 3 of them (25% of games with him). | 7 | 12:55 → 14:09 | +0:58 | 32% → 42% | 3/7 | 40% | Games without him |
| Aliaksei ProtasLIn 62 games without Dylan McIlrath, Aliaksei Protas played 18:03 (+0:27). | 62 | 17:36 → 18:03 | +0:26 | 4% → 4% | 0/62 | 47%▼4.9 | Games without him |
| Boone JennerCIn 4 games without Dylan McIlrath, Boone Jenner played 16:24 (+0:44). | 4 | 15:40 → 16:24 | +0:30 | 1% → 1% | 0/4 | 31%▲8 | Games without him |
| Jordan KyrouCIn 4 games without Dylan McIlrath, Jordan Kyrou played 14:00 (+0:42). | 4 | 13:17 → 14:00 | +0:28 | 35% → 35% | 0/4 | 68%▼1.3 | Games without him |
| Anthony BeauvillierLIn 65 games without Dylan McIlrath, Anthony Beauvillier played 15:42 (+0:15). | 65 | 15:26 → 15:42 | +0:15 | 8% → 10% | 3/65 | 4.0% | Games without him |
| Dylan StromeCIn 63 games without Dylan McIlrath, Dylan Strome played 18:06 (+0:32). | 63 | 17:34 → 18:06 | +0:31 | 54% → 52% | 53/63 | 79%▼2.3 | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Dylan McIlrath is out?
Ilya Protas projects to gain the most (+0:58 a game). In 7 games without Dylan McIlrath, Ilya Protas played 14:09 (+1:14) and took PP1 in 3 of them (25% of games with him).
How many games has WSH played without Dylan McIlrath?
65 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 16 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.