Injury cascade
Who benefits when Ethen Frank is out?
Ethen Frank (R, Washington Capitals) plays 9:10 a night on L4 and PP2, with 10% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 3 games.
Based on 13 games without Ethen Frank and 64 with him. Through games of Oct 20, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+1:57 TOI · 0.1% rost
−0:06 TOI · 15% rost
+0:06 TOI · 4.0% rost
−0:17 TOI · 88% rost
−1:40 TOI · 47% rost
−0:24 TOI, −8 PP% · 72% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan McIlrathDIn 1 game without Ethen Frank, Dylan McIlrath played 14:05 (+5:50). | 1 | 8:15 → 14:05 | +1:57 | 0% → 0% | 0/1 | 0.1% | Games without him |
| Justin SourdifCIn 11 games without Ethen Frank, Justin Sourdif played 14:47 (−0:07), took PP1 in 3 of them (12% of games with him) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1. | 11 | 14:55 → 14:47 | −0:06 | 17% → 16% | 3/11 | 15%▼0.8 | Games without him |
| Anthony BeauvillierLIn 13 games without Ethen Frank, Anthony Beauvillier played 15:45 (+0:07) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1. | 13 | 15:38 → 15:45 | +0:06 | 10% → 7% | 1/13 | 4.0% | Games without him |
| Alex OvechkinLIn 13 games without Ethen Frank, Alex Ovechkin played 17:01 (−0:19) and moved up to his L4 slot in 4. | 13 | 17:20 → 17:01 | −0:17 | 76% → 73% | 13/13 | 88%▼4 | Games without him |
| Aliaksei ProtasLIn 11 games without Ethen Frank, Aliaksei Protas played 16:22 (−1:59) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1. | 11 | 18:20 → 16:22 | −1:40 | 5% → 7% | 0/11 | 47%▼4.9 | Games without him |
| Ryan LeonardRIn 13 games without Ethen Frank, Ryan Leonard played 14:12 (−0:28), PP share went 45% → 36% and moved up to his L4 slot in 2. | 13 | 14:39 → 14:12 | −0:24 | 45% → 36% | 5/13 | 72%▲4.5 | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Ethen Frank is out?
Dylan McIlrath projects to gain the most (+1:57 a game). In 1 game without Ethen Frank, Dylan McIlrath played 14:05 (+5:50).
How many games has WSH played without Ethen Frank?
13 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 64 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.