Injury cascade
Who benefits when Garrett Wilson is out?
Garrett Wilson (L, Philadelphia Flyers) plays 9:08 a night on L4, with 0% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 1 game.
Based on 16 games without Garrett Wilson and 5 with him. Through games of Oct 19, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+0:15 TOI, +8 PP% · 77% rost
−1:13 TOI, +7 PP% · 11% rost
−0:25 TOI, −4 PP% · 75% rost
−1:34 TOI, −10 PP% · 81% rost
−3:17 TOI, −5 PP% · 15% rost
−1:22 TOI, −18 PP% · 14% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porter MartoneRIn 12 games without Garrett Wilson, Porter Martone played 15:45 (+0:17), took PP1 in 6 of them (33% of games with him) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1. | 12 | 15:28 → 15:45 | +0:15 | 35% → 44% | 6/12 | 77%▼4.4 | Games without him |
| Noah CatesLIn 16 games without Garrett Wilson, Noah Cates played 14:55 (−1:22), PP share went 24% → 33% and moved up to his L4 slot in 6. | 16 | 16:17 → 14:55 | −1:13 | 24% → 33% | 8/16 | 11%▼1.7 | Games without him |
| Trevor ZegrasCIn 16 games without Garrett Wilson, Trevor Zegras played 17:54 (−0:28) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1. | 16 | 18:22 → 17:54 | −0:25 | 53% → 48% | 10/16 | 75%▼1.9 | Games without him |
| Matvei MichkovRIn 16 games without Garrett Wilson, Matvei Michkov played 14:24 (−1:46), PP share went 53% → 41% and moved up to his L4 slot in 7. | 16 | 16:09 → 14:24 | −1:34 | 53% → 42% | 11/16 | 81%▲1 | Games without him |
| Christian DvorakCIn 16 games without Garrett Wilson, Christian Dvorak played 18:09 (−3:41), took PP1 in 6 of them (0% of games with him) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1. | 16 | 21:50 → 18:09 | −3:17 | 41% → 35% | 6/16 | 15%▲1.7 | Games without him |
| Denver BarkeyCIn 14 games without Garrett Wilson, Denver Barkey played 14:09 (−1:33), PP share went 44% → 24% and moved up to his L4 slot in 2. | 14 | 15:43 → 14:09 | −1:22 | 44% → 24% | 3/14 | 14% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Garrett Wilson is out?
Porter Martone projects to gain the most (+0:15 a game). In 12 games without Garrett Wilson, Porter Martone played 15:45 (+0:17), took PP1 in 6 of them (33% of games with him) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1.
How many games has PHI played without Garrett Wilson?
16 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 5 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.