Injury cascade
Who benefits when Hayden Hodgson is out?
Hayden Hodgson (R, Ottawa Senators) plays 6:42 a night on L4, with 0% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 7 games.
Based on 64 games without Hayden Hodgson and 12 with him. Through games of Oct 17, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+1:41 TOI · 3.3% rost
+0:23 TOI, +9 PP% · 96% rost
+0:29 TOI, +3 PP% · 7.3% rost
+0:48 TOI · 13% rost
+0:04 TOI, −4 PP% · 5.0% rost
−1:01 TOI, +5 PP% · 100% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick CousinsCIn 63 games without Hayden Hodgson, Nick Cousins played 11:29 (+1:44). | 63 | 9:46 → 11:29 | +1:41 | 1% → 1% | 0/63 | 3.3% | Games without him |
| Jake SandersonDIn 43 games without Hayden Hodgson, Jake Sanderson played 24:46 (+0:24) and PP share went 44% → 53%. | 43 | 24:22 → 24:46 | +0:23 | 44% → 53% | 38/43 | 96%▼0.7 | Games without him |
| Stephen HallidayCIn 31 games without Hayden Hodgson, Stephen Halliday played 9:20 (+0:31) and took PP1 in 7 of them (0% of games with him). | 31 | 8:48 → 9:20 | +0:29 | 27% → 31% | 7/31 | 7.3%▲1.7 | Games without him |
| Artem ZubDIn 58 games without Hayden Hodgson, Artem Zub played 21:10 (+0:50). | 58 | 20:21 → 21:10 | +0:48 | 2% → 2% | 0/58 | 13%▲4.6 | Games without him |
| Michael AmadioRIn 64 games without Hayden Hodgson, Michael Amadio played 16:21 (+0:04) and moved up to his L4 slot in 3. | 64 | 16:17 → 16:21 | +0:04 | 5% → 1% | 0/64 | 5.0%▼0.9 | Games without him |
| Tim StützleCIn 63 games without Hayden Hodgson, Tim Stützle played 20:26 (−1:03) and moved up to his L4 slot in 4. | 63 | 21:28 → 20:26 | −1:01 | 51% → 55% | 58/63 | 100% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Hayden Hodgson is out?
Nick Cousins projects to gain the most (+1:41 a game). In 63 games without Hayden Hodgson, Nick Cousins played 11:29 (+1:44).
How many games has OTT played without Hayden Hodgson?
64 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 12 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.