Injury cascade
Who benefits when Hendrix Lapierre is out?
Hendrix Lapierre (C, Pittsburgh Penguins) plays 11:59 a night on L4 and PP2, with 22% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 4 games.
Based on 4 games without Hendrix Lapierre and 6 with him. Through games of Oct 19, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+1:46 TOI · 15% rost
+0:24 TOI · 42% rost
+0:14 TOI · 54% rost
+0:10 TOI · 0.2% rost
−0:01 TOI · 26% rost
−0:25 TOI · 3.4% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaedan KorczakDIn 4 games without Hendrix Lapierre, Kaedan Korczak played 19:47 (+2:39). | 4 | 17:08 → 19:47 | +1:46 | 0% → 1% | 0/4 | 15%▼2.2 | Games without him |
| Declan CarlileDIn 4 games without Hendrix Lapierre, Declan Carlile played 19:12 (+0:36). | 4 | 18:36 → 19:12 | +0:24 | 0% → 0% | 0/4 | 42%▲1.4 | Games without him |
| Kris LetangDIn 4 games without Hendrix Lapierre, Kris Letang played 20:17 (+0:21). | 4 | 19:56 → 20:17 | +0:14 | 26% → 26% | 0/4 | 54%▼2.9 | Games without him |
| Blake LizotteCIn 4 games without Hendrix Lapierre, Blake Lizotte played 13:08 (+0:16) and moved up to his L4 slot in 2. | 4 | 12:52 → 13:08 | +0:10 | 0% → 1% | 0/4 | 0.2% | Games without him |
| Nick RobertsonLIn 4 games without Hendrix Lapierre, Nick Robertson played 12:18 (−0:02) and moved up to his L4 slot in 2. | 4 | 12:20 → 12:18 | −0:01 | 0% → 0% | 0/4 | 26%▼1.2 | Games without him |
| Connor DewarCIn 4 games without Hendrix Lapierre, Connor Dewar played 12:48 (−0:37) and moved up to his L4 slot in 2. | 4 | 13:25 → 12:48 | −0:25 | 0% → 0% | 0/4 | 3.4% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Hendrix Lapierre is out?
Kaedan Korczak projects to gain the most (+1:46 a game). In 4 games without Hendrix Lapierre, Kaedan Korczak played 19:47 (+2:39).
How many games has PIT played without Hendrix Lapierre?
4 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 6 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.