Injury cascade
Who benefits when Mark Jankowski is out?
Mark Jankowski (C, Carolina Hurricanes) plays 13:17 a night on L4 and PP2, with 11% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 2 games.
Based on 14 games without Mark Jankowski and 96 with him. Through games of Oct 20, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+1:28 TOI, +6 PP% · 3.2% rost
+0:37 TOI, +8 PP% · 82% rost
+1:14 TOI, +6 PP% · 71% rost
−0:10 TOI, +6 PP% · 58% rost
+0:09 TOI, +3 PP% · 100% rost
+0:17 TOI · 6.5% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike ReillyDIn 10 games without Mark Jankowski, Mike Reilly played 15:55 (+1:45) and PP share went 0% → 7%. | 10 | 14:10 → 15:55 | +1:28 | 0% → 8% | 0/10 | 3.2% | Games without him |
| Jackson BlakeRIn 13 games without Mark Jankowski, Jackson Blake played 17:33 (+0:43), took PP1 in 9 of them (32% of games with him) and moved up to his L4 slot in 1. | 13 | 16:50 → 17:33 | +0:37 | 40% → 49% | 9/13 | 82%▲1.1 | Games without him |
| Sean WalkerDIn 14 games without Mark Jankowski, Sean Walker played 23:08 (+1:24) and PP share went 9% → 16%. | 14 | 21:44 → 23:08 | +1:14 | 9% → 16% | 2/14 | 71%▲7.7 | Games without him |
| K'Andre MillerDIn 12 games without Mark Jankowski, K'Andre Miller played 22:31 (−0:12) and took PP1 in 3 of them (6% of games with him). | 12 | 22:43 → 22:31 | −0:10 | 17% → 24% | 3/12 | 58%▼1.8 | Games without him |
| Sebastian AhoRIn 14 games without Mark Jankowski, Sebastian Aho played 19:59 (+0:10) and moved up to his L4 slot in 2. | 14 | 19:49 → 19:59 | +0:09 | 53% → 57% | 13/14 | 100% | Games without him |
| Eric RobinsonLIn 14 games without Mark Jankowski, Eric Robinson played 11:46 (+0:20). | 14 | 11:26 → 11:46 | +0:17 | 1% → 2% | 0/14 | 6.5%▲3.3 | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Mark Jankowski is out?
Mike Reilly projects to gain the most (+1:28 a game). In 10 games without Mark Jankowski, Mike Reilly played 15:55 (+1:45) and PP share went 0% → 7%.
How many games has CAR played without Mark Jankowski?
14 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 96 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.