Injury cascade
Who benefits when Shakir Mukhamadullin is out?
Shakir Mukhamadullin (D, Edmonton Oilers) plays 11:52 a night on D3, with 4% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 2 games.
Based on 4 games without Shakir Mukhamadullin and 5 with him. Through games of Oct 20, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+0:30 TOI · 100% rost
+0:08 TOI · 100% rost
+0:21 TOI · 8.1% rost
+0:04 TOI · 100% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavidCIn 4 games without Shakir Mukhamadullin, Connor McDavid played 24:03 (+0:45). | 4 | 23:17 → 24:03 | +0:30 | 58% → 62% | 4/4 | 100% | Games without him |
| Leon DraisaitlCIn 4 games without Shakir Mukhamadullin, Leon Draisaitl played 21:31 (+0:12). | 4 | 21:19 → 21:31 | +0:08 | 59% → 63% | 4/4 | 100% | Games without him |
| Owen MichaelsRIn 4 games without Shakir Mukhamadullin, Owen Michaels played 13:30 (+0:31). | 4 | 12:58 → 13:30 | +0:21 | 2% → 2% | 0/4 | 8.1% | Games without him |
| Evan BouchardDIn 4 games without Shakir Mukhamadullin, Evan Bouchard played 25:38 (+0:07). | 4 | 25:31 → 25:38 | +0:04 | 60% → 62% | 4/4 | 100% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Shakir Mukhamadullin is out?
Connor McDavid projects to gain the most (+0:30 a game). In 4 games without Shakir Mukhamadullin, Connor McDavid played 24:03 (+0:45).
How many games has EDM played without Shakir Mukhamadullin?
4 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 5 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.