Injury cascade
Who benefits when Victor Mancini is out?
Victor Mancini (D, Vancouver Canucks) plays 13:39 a night on D3, with 0% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 1 game.
Based on 57 games without Victor Mancini and 27 with him. Through games of Oct 20, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+2:02 TOI · 12% rost
+0:12 TOI, +13 PP% · 48% rost
+1:22 TOI, −4 PP% · 95% rost
−0:02 TOI, +4 PP% · 57% rost
+0:52 TOI, −4 PP% · 45% rost
−0:12 TOI, +4 PP% · 27% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie OleksiakDIn 3 games without Victor Mancini, Jamie Oleksiak played 18:44 (+3:23). | 3 | 15:21 → 18:44 | +2:02 | 0% → 0% | 0/3 | 12%▼1 | Games without him |
| Paul CotterLIn 4 games without Victor Mancini, Paul Cotter played 15:34 (+0:18) and PP share went 4% → 23%. | 4 | 15:16 → 15:34 | +0:12 | 4% → 23% | 0/4 | 48%▼8.2 | Games without him |
| Elias PetterssonCIn 49 games without Victor Mancini, Elias Pettersson played 19:35 (+1:25). | 49 | 18:10 → 19:35 | +1:22 | 60% → 56% | 46/49 | 95%▲1.1 | Games without him |
| Zeev BuiumDIn 29 games without Victor Mancini, Zeev Buium played 20:12 (−0:02) and moved up to his D3 slot in 8. | 29 | 20:15 → 20:12 | −0:02 | 32% → 37% | 11/29 | 57%▼6.5 | Games without him |
| Jake DeBruskLIn 56 games without Victor Mancini, Jake DeBrusk played 17:05 (+0:53). | 56 | 16:12 → 17:05 | +0:52 | 58% → 54% | 53/56 | 45%▼2.1 | Games without him |
| Jonathan LekkerimäkiRIn 12 games without Victor Mancini, Jonathan Lekkerimäki played 13:10 (−0:14). | 12 | 13:25 → 13:10 | −0:12 | 38% → 42% | 6/12 | 27% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Victor Mancini is out?
Jamie Oleksiak projects to gain the most (+2:02 a game). In 3 games without Victor Mancini, Jamie Oleksiak played 18:44 (+3:23).
How many games has VAN played without Victor Mancini?
57 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 27 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.