Injury cascade
Who benefits when Vladislav Namestnikov is out?
Vladislav Namestnikov (C, Winnipeg Jets) plays 11:17 a night on L4 and PP2, with 20% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 3 games.
Based on 22 games without Vladislav Namestnikov and 66 with him. Through games of Oct 20, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+2:03 TOI, +10 PP% · 84% rost
−0:13 TOI, +20 PP% · 14% rost
+1:21 TOI · 7.5% rost
+0:18 TOI, +7 PP% · 61% rost
+1:12 TOI · 98% rost
+0:24 TOI, +6 PP% · 0.1% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole PerfettiCIn 22 games without Vladislav Namestnikov, Cole Perfetti played 17:33 (+2:14) and took PP1 in 20 of them (50% of games with him). | 22 | 15:19 → 17:33 | +2:03 | 41% → 52% | 20/22 | 84%▲4.5 | Games without him |
| Brad LambertCIn 18 games without Vladislav Namestnikov, Brad Lambert played 10:03 (−0:14) and PP share went 5% → 27%. | 18 | 10:17 → 10:03 | −0:13 | 5% → 28% | 1/18 | 14% | Games without him |
| Adam LowryLIn 22 games without Vladislav Namestnikov, Adam Lowry played 16:01 (+1:29). | 22 | 14:33 → 16:01 | +1:21 | 1% → 4% | 0/22 | 7.5%▼0.9 | Games without him |
| Neal PionkDIn 12 games without Vladislav Namestnikov, Neal Pionk played 23:12 (+0:21) and PP share went 30% → 38%. | 12 | 22:50 → 23:12 | +0:18 | 30% → 38% | 3/12 | 61%▲31 | Games without him |
| Mark ScheifeleCIn 22 games without Vladislav Namestnikov, Mark Scheifele played 22:26 (+1:19). | 22 | 21:07 → 22:26 | +1:12 | 56% → 55% | 21/22 | 98%▼0.6 | Games without him |
| Haydn FleuryDIn 19 games without Vladislav Namestnikov, Haydn Fleury played 14:23 (+0:26) and PP share went 3% → 9%. | 19 | 13:57 → 14:23 | +0:24 | 3% → 9% | 0/19 | 0.1% | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Vladislav Namestnikov is out?
Cole Perfetti projects to gain the most (+2:03 a game). In 22 games without Vladislav Namestnikov, Cole Perfetti played 17:33 (+2:14) and took PP1 in 20 of them (50% of games with him).
How many games has WPG played without Vladislav Namestnikov?
22 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 66 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.