Injury cascade
Who benefits when William Trudeau is out?
William Trudeau (D, Nashville Predators) plays 9:11 a night on D3, with 0% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 4 games.
Based on 4 games without William Trudeau and 3 with him. Through games of Oct 17, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+0:46 TOI, +12 PP% · 19% rost
+2:44 TOI · 8.9% rost
+1:44 TOI · 4.8% rost
+1:30 TOI · 23% rost
+0:32 TOI, +7 PP% · 3.2% rost
−1:18 TOI, +10 PP% · 15% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan MarchessaultCIn 4 games without William Trudeau, Jonathan Marchessault played 17:04 (+1:09) and took PP1 in 4 of them (33% of games with him). | 4 | 15:55 → 17:04 | +0:46 | 40% → 57% | 4/4 | 19% | Games without him |
| Adam WilsbyDIn 4 games without William Trudeau, Adam Wilsby played 20:52 (+4:06). | 4 | 16:46 → 20:52 | +2:44 | 0% → 1% | 0/4 | 8.9%▲4.1 | Games without him |
| Jack DruryCIn 4 games without William Trudeau, Jack Drury played 17:54 (+2:37). | 4 | 15:18 → 17:54 | +1:44 | 1% → 0% | 0/4 | 4.8% | Games without him |
| Adam EdstromCIn 4 games without William Trudeau, Adam Edstrom played 15:05 (+2:15). | 4 | 12:50 → 15:05 | +1:30 | 1% → 1% | 0/4 | 23%▲17 | Games without him |
| Alexander KerfootCIn 4 games without William Trudeau, Alexander Kerfoot played 17:27 (+0:47) and PP share went 15% → 25%. | 4 | 16:40 → 17:27 | +0:32 | 15% → 25% | 0/4 | 3.2% | Games without him |
| Brady SkjeiDIn 4 games without William Trudeau, Brady Skjei played 18:51 (−1:58), PP share went 5% → 20% and moved up to his D3 slot in 4. | 4 | 20:49 → 18:51 | −1:18 | 6% → 20% | 0/4 | 15%▼1.1 | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when William Trudeau is out?
Jonathan Marchessault projects to gain the most (+0:46 a game). In 4 games without William Trudeau, Jonathan Marchessault played 17:04 (+1:09) and took PP1 in 4 of them (33% of games with him).
How many games has NSH played without William Trudeau?
4 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 3 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.