Injury cascade
Who benefits when Zach Dean is out?
Zach Dean (C, St. Louis Blues) plays 9:58 a night on L4, with 1% of the team's power-play time over his last 10 games. He has missed the team's last 2 games.
Based on 5 games without Zach Dean and 3 with him. Through games of Oct 20, 2026.
Expected change per game without him
+1:06 TOI, +18 PP% · 60% rost
+1:38 TOI · 30% rost
+1:00 TOI · 76% rost
+0:55 TOI · 84% rost
−0:47 TOI · 7.4% rost
Ranked beneficiaries
Show
| Player | Games | Exp. Δ TOI | Rost % | Basis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip BrobergDIn 5 games without Zach Dean, Philip Broberg played 23:33 (+1:33) and took PP1 in 2 of them (0% of games with him). | 5 | 22:00 → 23:33 | +1:06 | 1% → 27% | 2/5 | 60% | Games without him |
| Jake NeighboursLIn 5 games without Zach Dean, Jake Neighbours played 15:54 (+2:18) and took PP1 in 4 of them (33% of games with him). | 5 | 13:36 → 15:54 | +1:38 | 39% → 43% | 4/5 | 30%▲2.6 | Games without him |
| Jimmy SnuggerudRIn 5 games without Zach Dean, Jimmy Snuggerud played 18:15 (+1:24). | 5 | 16:51 → 18:15 | +1:00 | 47% → 45% | 4/5 | 76%▼2.1 | Games without him |
| Robert ThomasCIn 5 games without Zach Dean, Robert Thomas played 20:29 (+1:18). | 5 | 19:11 → 20:29 | +0:55 | 47% → 46% | 4/5 | 84%▼1.2 | Games without him |
| Pius SuterCIn 5 games without Zach Dean, Pius Suter played 13:41 (−1:05) and moved up to his L4 slot in 4. | 5 | 14:46 → 13:41 | −0:47 | 1% → 3% | 0/5 | 7.4%▲3.3 | Games without him |
FAQ
Who benefits when Zach Dean is out?
Philip Broberg projects to gain the most (+1:06 a game). In 5 games without Zach Dean, Philip Broberg played 23:33 (+1:33) and took PP1 in 2 of them (0% of games with him).
How many games has STL played without Zach Dean?
5 games in the loaded seasons while he was on the roster, against 3 with him.
How it works
- We find every game the injured player missed while on the team's roster this season and last (including the current absence), and compare each teammate's ice time, power-play share and PP1 usage in those games with the games the injured player dressed.
- Changes are shrunk toward zero when the sample is small (a change over n games counts n / (n + 2) of its size), so one odd game does not crown a beneficiary.
- When there is little or no absence history, we fall back to line adjacency from our shift-based line detection: the next man up on his power-play unit (the top PP2 player at his position) and the best player one line or pair below his.
- Players are ranked by expected fantasy opportunity: TOI minutes, plus power-play share (10 points of PP share ≈ 1.2 minutes of even-strength TOI), plus PP1 gains.