RB · LAR · 113 lines since 2023
Blake Corum Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Blake Corum, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 27% — we make it 32%
- Line 35.5 rush yds — we project 38 (P(over) 53%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 12, under 14 (26 graded)
- Receiving yards over 2, under 10 (12 graded)
- Receptions over 4, under 8 (12 graded)
- Anytime TD over 5, under 30 (35 graded)
- Rush attempts over 8, under 5 (13 graded)
- Longest reception over 1, under 6 (7 graded)
Our calls on him: Missed tackles 2–4 · Starters out on defense 3–3 · Dome team outdoors 4–6 · Pre-snap motion 3–1 · model 30–24 · Big favourite (6.5+) 2–5 · Short week 3–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 27% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 38 | 53% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 38.5 | 42 | 55% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 39% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 40% / 47% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 47.5 | 39 | 39% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 3.5 | 0 | 27% / 48% | 13 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 35% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 48.5 | 41 | 41% / 50% | 79 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 0 | 39% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 48% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 42.5 | 45 | 53% / 50% | 54 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 42% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 44% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 10.5 | 8 | 28% / 47% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 46.5 | 46 | 49% / 51% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 42% / 50% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 9.5 | 7 | 25% / 49% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 37.5 | 32 | 42% / 50% | 48 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 33% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 0.5 | 0 | 41% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 41% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 42% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 8.5 | 7 | 30% / 52% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 36.5 | 39 | 54% / 51% | 71 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 28% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 0.5 | 0 | 36% / 44% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 36% / 43% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 37% / 49% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush att | 8.5 | 7 | 36% / 50% | 12 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 35 | 48% / 50% | 128 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 0.5 | 0 | 39% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 39% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 40% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 8.5 | 7 | 34% / 53% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 34.5 | 30 | 42% / 50% | 81 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 1.5 | 0 | 39% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 1.5 | 0 | 39% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 43% / 59% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 7.5 | 7 | 40% / 55% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 32.5 | 29 | 44% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 29.5 | 29 | 50% / 50% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 8.5 | 6 | 22% / 44% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 27.5 | 27 | 48% / 50% | 56 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 0.5 | 0 | 45% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 45% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 45% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 7.5 | 6 | 30% / 49% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 31.5 | 27 | 43% / 50% | 58 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 5.5 | 4 | 29% / 48% | 12 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 19.5 | 16 | 42% / 50% | 37 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 2.5 | 0 | 42% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 1.5 | 0 | 46% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 49% / 58% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 6.5 | 4 | 21% / 52% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 25.5 | 18 | 37% / 50% | 23 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 1.5 | 0 | 44% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 1.5 | 0 | 45% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 49% / 58% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 7.5 | 5 | 19% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 31.5 | 21 | 31% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 5.5 | 4 | 25% / 51% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 21.5 | 18 | 43% / 51% | 21 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 4.5 | 3 | 26% / 53% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 10 | 36% / 50% | 53 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 1.8 | 11% / 51% | 12 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rush yds | 62.5 | 43 | 26% / 52% | 10 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rush yds | 17.5 | 16 | 47% / 51% | -4 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rush yds | 13.5 | 15 | 53% / 50% | 14 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rush yds | 19.5 | 15 | 40% / 52% | 5 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rush yds | 16.5 | 12 | 39% / 49% | 34 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rush yds | 9.5 | 10 | 53% / 49% | 5 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rush yds | 8.5 | 10 | 55% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 13.5 | 11 | 43% / 49% | 9 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 7% | – | void |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 11% | – | void |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | – | – / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 29% | – | void |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 5.5 | – | – / 48% | – | void |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | – | – / 35% | – | void |
| 2024 W1 | Rush yds | 22.5 | – | – / 51% | – | void |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Over 31.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W4 Over 38.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 38.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Over 38.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 38.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 47.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Over 47.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 47.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 47.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 3.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 48.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Under 2.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W18 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 10.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 10.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 46.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 9.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 37.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 37.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 37.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 37.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 0.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 0.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 8.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 36.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 0.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 0.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 8.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 8.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 8.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 8.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 34.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 34.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 34.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 1.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 1.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 7.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 32.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 8.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 27.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 27.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 7.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 31.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 5.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 19.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 19.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 19.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology