Edgehalla

TE · DET · 84 lines since 2023

Brock Wright Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Brock Wright, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 14% — we make it 11%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 8, under 10 (18 graded)
  • Receptions over 4, under 7 (11 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 5, under 41 (46 graded)
  • Longest reception over 2, under 3 (5 graded)

Our calls on him: Dome team outdoors 4–3 · Short week 1–1 · model 8–11 · Starters out on defense 3–2 · Wind 15+ mph 1–0 · Play action 0–1

Line vs actual vs our projection

Brock Wright prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 14%–…
2026 W4Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 13%0under
2026 W4Rec yds5.54.247% / 50%8over
2026 W4Rec0.5160% / 56%1over
2026 W3Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 11%0under
2026 W2Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 9%0under
2026 W2Rec yds6.55.347% / 50%0under
2026 W2Rec0.5163% / 61%0under
2026 W1Any TD–21% TD chance21% / 11%0under
2025 W13Any TD––– / 26%–void
2025 W13Long rec12.5–– / 48%–void
2025 W12Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 29%0under
2025 W12Long rec11.57.641% / 49%20over
2025 W12Rec yds20.58.832% / 50%29over
2025 W12Rec2.5116% / 53%3over
2025 W11Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 23%0under
2025 W11Long rec10.59.446% / 50%4under
2025 W11Rec yds16.51241% / 50%8under
2025 W11Rec2.5231% / 40%2under
2025 W10Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 13%0under
2025 W10Long rec5.52.843% / 51%0under
2025 W10Rec yds6.52.841% / 48%0under
2025 W10Rec0.5156% / 66%0under
2025 W9Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 10%0under
2025 W9Long rec4.52.144% / 50%11over
2025 W9Rec yds4.52.144% / 50%11over
2025 W9Rec0.5155% / 61%1over
2025 W7Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 13%0under
2025 W6Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%0under
2025 W6Long rec0.50.751% / 47%0under
2025 W6Rec yds0.50.751% / 47%0under
2025 W6Rec0.5152% / 49%0under
2025 W5Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%1over
2025 W4Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 9%0under
2025 W3Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%0under
2025 W2Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 8%1over
2025 W1Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 8%0under
2024 W18Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 9%0under
2024 W17Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 9%0under
2024 W16Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 11%0under
2024 W15Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 9%0under
2024 W14Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 9%0under
2024 W14Rec yds4.53.648% / 51%0under
2024 W14Rec0.5158% / 61%0under
2024 W13Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 12%0under
2024 W13Rec yds6.53.843% / 49%13over
2024 W12Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 13%0under
2024 W11Any TD–25% TD chance25% / 30%1over
2024 W11Rec yds15.51855% / 51%5under
2024 W11Rec1.5258% / 60%1under
2024 W10Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 11%0under
2024 W10Rec yds2.54.054% / 52%0under
2024 W9Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 11%0under
2024 W8Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 12%1over
2024 W7Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 10%0under
2024 W6Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 11%0under
2024 W6Rec yds6.55.748% / 49%0under
2024 W4Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 14%0under
2024 W3Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 10%0under
2024 W2Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 11%0under
2024 W1Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 12%0under
2023 W16Any TD––– / 10%–void
2023 W15Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 10%0under
2023 W15Rec yds4.51.442% / 50%0under
2023 W15Rec0.5152% / 58%0under
2023 W14Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 9%0under
2023 W14Rec yds0.5046% / 50%6over
2023 W14Rec0.5047% / 52%2over
2023 W13Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 10%0under
2023 W12Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 11%0under
2023 W11Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 11%0under
2023 W11Rec yds6.50.635% / 49%0under
2023 W10Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 11%1over
2023 W10Rec yds2.5038% / 48%23over
2023 W8Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 11%0under
2023 W7Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 9%0under
2023 W6Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 11%0under
2023 W5Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 12%0under
2023 W5Rec yds6.5025% / 49%16over
2023 W4Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 11%0under
2023 W3Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 13%0under
2023 W2Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 14%0under
2023 W1Any TD––– / 9%0under
2023 W1Rec yds2.5–– / 50%17over

Our calls

  • 2026 W4 Under 5.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W2 Under 6.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W2 Under 6.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2025 W12 Under 11.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W12 Over 20.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W12 Under 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W12 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W11 Under 16.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W11 Under 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W11 Under 16.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W11 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W10 Under 5.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W10 Under 6.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W10 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W10 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W9 Under 4.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W9 Under 4.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W9 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W6 Under 0.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W14 Over 4.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W13 Over 6.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W13 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W13 Under 6.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W11 Over 15.5 rec yds (Play action, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W6 Over 6.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W15 Under 4.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W15 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W14 Under 0.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W11 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W10 Under 2.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W5 Over 6.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W5 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W1 Under 2.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology