WR · DAL · 181 lines since 2023
CeeDee Lamb Player Props
Closing consensus lines for CeeDee Lamb, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 55% — we make it 36%
- Line 25.5 yds longest rec — we project 32 (P(over) 67%)
- Line 83.5 rec yds — we project 94 (P(over) 57%)
- Line 6.5 receptions — we project 7 (P(over) 51%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 5, under 9 (14 graded)
- Receiving yards over 28, under 22 (50 graded)
- Receptions over 26, under 23 (49 graded)
- Anytime TD over 22, under 28 (50 graded)
- Rush attempts over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
- Longest reception over 9, under 4 (13 graded)
Our calls on him: Short week 3–2 · Explosive plays 5–4 · model 33–41 · Middle of the field 7–6 · Starters out on defense 2–3 · Dome team outdoors 10–8 · Missed tackles 10–6 · Pre-snap motion 11–8 · Wind 15+ mph 1–1 · Contested catches 0–2 · Red-zone defense 2–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 55% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 25.5 | 32 | 67% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 83.5 | 94 | 57% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 51% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 43% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 76.5 | 68 | 43% / 50% | 189 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 49% / 55% | 17 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 82.5 | 74 | 44% / 50% | 112 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 39% / 50% | 7 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 49% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 75.5 | 63 | 41% / 50% | 153 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 40% / 55% | 8 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 44% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 75.5 | 73 | 49% / 50% | 44 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 50% / 58% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 67.5 | 78 | 57% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 26.5 | 32 | 64% / 52% | 24 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 81.5 | 84 | 52% / 50% | 46 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 50% / 56% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 25.5 | 30 | 64% / 49% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 75.5 | 77 | 51% / 51% | 51 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 47% / 53% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 25.5 | 29 | 61% / 50% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 81.5 | 74 | 45% / 50% | 111 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 34% / 45% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 26.5 | 30 | 58% / 51% | 37 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 84.5 | 75 | 43% / 50% | 121 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 36% / 49% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 44% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 25.5 | 27 | 55% / 49% | 51 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 81.5 | 67 | 39% / 51% | 112 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 32% / 52% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 24.5 | 25 | 51% / 49% | 48 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 75.5 | 60 | 38% / 50% | 75 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 32% / 45% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 48% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 26.5 | 28 | 54% / 50% | 23 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 86.5 | 70 | 37% / 51% | 66 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 33% / 53% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 25.5 | 28 | 58% / 51% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 82.5 | 69 | 39% / 50% | 85 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 30% / 53% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 1.5 | 0 | 22% / 45% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 23.5 | 25 | 56% / 51% | 29 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 75.5 | 58 | 35% / 51% | 74 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 24% / 47% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 46% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 25.5 | 26 | 51% / 49% | 74 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 77.5 | 58 | 36% / 51% | 110 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 6.5 | 4 | 24% / 46% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 53% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 25.5 | 27 | 55% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 82.5 | 71 | 42% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 38% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 25.5 | 27 | 53% / 49% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 79.5 | 68 | 41% / 52% | 112 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 35% / 53% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 0.5 | 0 | 49% / 57% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 38% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 23.5 | 23 | 48% / 51% | 32 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 73.5 | 61 | 39% / 51% | 110 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 40% / 49% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 46% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 74.5 | 66 | 43% / 51% | 105 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 46% / 53% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 63.5 | 57 | 43% / 50% | 116 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 47% / 56% | 9 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 43% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 68.5 | 66 | 48% / 50% | 93 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 42% / 48% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0.3 | 49% / 51% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 68.5 | 67 | 49% / 51% | 39 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 50% / 56% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rush yds | 2.5 | 1.7 | 47% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 67.5 | 65 | 47% / 50% | 67 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 50% / 43% | 10 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 60.5 | 56 | 45% / 51% | 93 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 52% / 54% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0.4 | 50% / 46% | 13 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 66.5 | 65 | 49% / 51% | 21 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 58% / 55% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Rush yds | 3.5 | 1.1 | 41% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 86.5 | 91 | 54% / 50% | 47 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 42% / 45% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rush yds | 2.5 | 1.6 | 47% / 49% | 15 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 45% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 76.5 | 78 | 51% / 50% | 146 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 47% / 48% | 13 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 2.5 | 2.0 | 48% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 87.5 | 89 | 51% / 50% | 89 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 51% / 55% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 76.5 | 81 | 53% / 50% | 62 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 54% / 45% | 5 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rush yds | 4.5 | 1.5 | 40% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 81.5 | 79 | 48% / 51% | 98 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 41% / 50% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 48% / 52% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 82.5 | 88 | 54% / 52% | 67 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 53% / 53% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rush yds | 1.5 | 0.3 | 46% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 48% TD chance | 48% / 58% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 88.5 | 95 | 55% / 51% | 90 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 48% / 46% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rush yds | 3.5 | 2.2 | 46% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 80.5 | 76 | 47% / 51% | 61 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 55% / 54% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 60% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 95.5 | 112 | 60% / 52% | 98 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 48% / 43% | 13 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 47% TD chance | 47% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 98.5 | 105 | 53% / 50% | 227 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 47% / 48% | 13 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 53% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 87.5 | 87 | 50% / 50% | 118 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 47% / 45% | 6 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 52% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 86.5 | 97 | 58% / 50% | 53 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 53% / 45% | 7 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 47% TD chance | 47% / 58% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 93.5 | 113 | 61% / 55% | 71 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 56% / 52% | 6 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 47% TD chance | 47% / 58% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 87.5 | 103 | 59% / 50% | 116 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 57% / 56% | 12 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 39% / 50% | 30 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 91.5 | 113 | 62% / 51% | 53 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 59% / 56% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 54% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 85.5 | 95 | 56% / 50% | 38 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 53% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 46% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 77.5 | 100 | 64% / 50% | 151 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 5.5 | 7 | 67% / 57% | 11 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 76.5 | 84 | 57% / 51% | 191 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 5.5 | 7 | 70% / 59% | 11 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 37% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 69.5 | 68 | 49% / 50% | 158 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 50% / 49% | 12 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 72.5 | 63 | 42% / 51% | 117 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 45% / 54% | 7 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 69.5 | 56 | 37% / 50% | 49 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 45% / 55% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 39% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 66.5 | 70 | 53% / 50% | 36 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 53% / 53% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 70.5 | 88 | 64% / 51% | 53 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 5.5 | 7 | 68% / 56% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 35% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 60.5 | 48 | 38% / 50% | 143 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 5.5 | 4 | 34% / 46% | 11 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 72.5 | – | – / 50% | 77 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 5.5 | – | – / 58% | 4 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Under 80.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W4 Over 76.5 rec yds (Explosive plays, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 76.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 82.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 82.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 75.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 67.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 67.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 67.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 67.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 67.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 26.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 81.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 81.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 81.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 81.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 75.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 25.5 yds longest rec (Explosive plays, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 81.5 rec yds (Explosive plays, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 81.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 81.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 26.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 84.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 84.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 84.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 81.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 81.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 81.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 75.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 75.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 86.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 86.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 86.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 82.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 82.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 1.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 75.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 75.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 75.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 77.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 82.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 82.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology