Edgehalla

WR · LAC · 53 lines since 2023

Derius Davis Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Derius Davis, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 17% — we make it 4%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 3, under 40 (43 graded)

Our calls on him: model 2–0 · Dome team outdoors 1–0

Line vs actual vs our projection

Derius Davis prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 17%–…
2026 W4Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 7%0under
2026 W3Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2026 W2Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2026 W1Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 5%0under
2025 W15Any TD––– / 3%–void
2025 W14Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 4%–void
2025 W13Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2025 W11Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 4%0under
2025 W10Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 4%0under
2025 W9Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 5%0under
2025 W8Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2025 W7Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 10%0under
2025 W5Any TD––– / 7%–void
2025 W4Any TD––– / 7%–void
2025 W3Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2025 W2Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 6%0under
2025 W1Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 6%0under
2024 W18Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 18%0under
2024 W17Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 8%1over
2024 W16Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 10%1over
2024 W15Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 12%0under
2024 W14Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 13%0under
2024 W13Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%0under
2024 W12Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 8%0under
2024 W11Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 8%0under
2024 W10Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2024 W9Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 11%0under
2024 W8Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 18%–void
2024 W7Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 11%–void
2024 W6Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2024 W4Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 8%–void
2024 W3Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 7%0under
2024 W2Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 11%0under
2024 W1Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 13%0under
2023 W18Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 10%0under
2023 W17Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 12%0under
2023 W16Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 5%0under
2023 W15Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2023 W14Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 13%–void
2023 W13Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 10%0under
2023 W12Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 17%0under
2023 W11Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 20%0under
2023 W10Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 13%0under
2023 W9Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 13%1over
2023 W9Rec yds13.52.525% / 50%0under
2023 W8Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 16%0under
2023 W7Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 9%0under
2023 W6Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 13%0under
2023 W4Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 11%0under
2023 W3Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 9%0under
2023 W2Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 5%0under
2023 W1Any TD––– / 5%0under

Our calls

  • 2024 W17 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W9 Under 13.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W9 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology