WR · LV · 35 lines since 2023
Deven Thompkins Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Deven Thompkins, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 0, under 4 (4 graded)
- Receptions over 1, under 1 (2 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 25 (26 graded)
Our calls on him: Short week 1–0 · model 1–3
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | – | – / 5% | – | … |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 14 | 48% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 58% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 16 | 60% / 51% | -2 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 12% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 3.3 | 31% / 49% | 6 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 24% / 42% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 11 | 54% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 9% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2023 W8 Under 14.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W8 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W6 Over 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W3 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology