WR · CIN · 204 lines since 2023
Ja'Marr Chase Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Ja'Marr Chase, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 53% — we make it 41%
- Line 24.5 yds longest rec — we project 25 (P(over) 52%)
- Line 77.5 rec yds — we project 66 (P(over) 41%)
- Line 6.5 receptions — we project 6 (P(over) 41%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
- Receiving yards over 31, under 33 (64 graded)
- Receptions over 27, under 39 (66 graded)
- Anytime TD over 24, under 29 (53 graded)
- Longest reception over 7, under 9 (16 graded)
Our calls on him: Pre-snap motion 10–9 · model 34–38 · Freezing 1–3 · Short week 1–3 · Starters out on defense 1–5 · Middle of the field 7–4 · Missed tackles 6–15 · Wind 15+ mph 2–0 · Explosive plays 5–0 · Play action 2–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 53% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 24.5 | 25 | 52% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 77.5 | 66 | 41% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 41% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 48% TD chance | 48% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 83.5 | 82 | 49% / 50% | 27 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 41% / 44% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 49% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 75.5 | 70 | 45% / 50% | 98 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 47% / 52% | 9 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 45% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 77.5 | 60 | 35% / 50% | 75 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 38% / 51% | 7 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 51% TD chance | 51% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 86.5 | 99 | 58% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 53% / 45% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 24.5 | 29 | 61% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 80.5 | 78 | 48% / 50% | 96 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 43% / 54% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 46% TD chance | 46% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 25.5 | 30 | 65% / 51% | 22 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 88.5 | 92 | 52% / 50% | 60 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 40% / 45% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 25.5 | 31 | 65% / 50% | 36 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 87.5 | 98 | 57% / 50% | 109 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 51% / 46% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 62% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 26.5 | 30 | 59% / 50% | 34 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 89.5 | 97 | 56% / 50% | 132 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 55% / 48% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 45% TD chance | 45% / 57% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 25.5 | 28 | 59% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 85.5 | 85 | 50% / 50% | 44 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 44% / 43% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 53% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 25.5 | 28 | 57% / 51% | 43 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 92.5 | 94 | 52% / 50% | 110 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 57% / 55% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 53% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 25.5 | 27 | 56% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 92.5 | 93 | 51% / 50% | 30 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 8.5 | 8 | 49% / 47% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 25.5 | 28 | 56% / 49% | 36 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 90.5 | 91 | 50% / 51% | 111 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 8.5 | 8 | 44% / 53% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 45% TD chance | 45% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 24.5 | 28 | 62% / 50% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 87.5 | 88 | 50% / 50% | 91 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 49% / 52% | 12 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 42% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 22.5 | 25 | 60% / 49% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 75.5 | 81 | 54% / 50% | 161 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 61% / 56% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 34% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 21.5 | 20 | 45% / 49% | 19 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 66.5 | 55 | 38% / 51% | 94 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 43% / 45% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 39% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 22.5 | 23 | 52% / 49% | 64 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 66.5 | 67 | 51% / 51% | 110 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 51% / 46% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 22.5 | 24 | 55% / 51% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 68.5 | 70 | 52% / 50% | 23 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 5.5 | 7 | 65% / 54% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 24.5 | 24 | 50% / 50% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 72.5 | 71 | 49% / 50% | 50 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 50% / 44% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 24.5 | 29 | 60% / 51% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 85.5 | 75 | 43% / 50% | 165 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 39% / 54% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 57% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 25.5 | 30 | 63% / 51% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 85.5 | 87 | 52% / 50% | 26 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 52% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 61% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 93.5 | 113 | 62% / 51% | 96 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 59% / 55% | 10 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 50% TD chance | 50% / 62% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 93.5 | 114 | 63% / 50% | 102 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 55% / 50% | 9 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 90.5 | 96 | 54% / 50% | 97 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 42% / 47% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 60% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 90.5 | 92 | 51% / 51% | 94 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 50% / 56% | 9 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 61% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 85.5 | 82 | 48% / 51% | 177 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 39% / 51% | 14 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 55% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 77.5 | 74 | 47% / 51% | 86 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 38% / 43% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 51% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 75.5 | 91 | 60% / 51% | 75 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 53% / 47% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 83.5 | 84 | 51% / 52% | 264 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 46% / 46% | 11 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 46% TD chance | 46% / 61% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 85.5 | 97 | 57% / 50% | 43 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 58% / 55% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 55% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 88.5 | 75 | 41% / 50% | 54 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 40% / 54% | 9 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 14% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 48% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 76.5 | 58 | 36% / 50% | 55 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 37% / 57% | 5 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 75.5 | 73 | 49% / 50% | 72 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 47% / 56% | 5 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 47% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 71.5 | 61 | 42% / 50% | 193 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 41% / 54% | 10 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 51% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 72.5 | 58 | 37% / 50% | 85 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 27% / 43% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 52% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 80.5 | 64 | 37% / 51% | 118 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 33% / 47% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 71.5 | 74 | 53% / 50% | 35 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 54% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 61.5 | 74 | 60% / 50% | 62 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 56% / 49% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 60.5 | 80 | 66% / 50% | 19 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 60.5 | 80 | 66% / 50% | 19 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 5.5 | 7 | 64% / 47% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 5.5 | 7 | 64% / 47% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 57.5 | 51 | 44% / 49% | 41 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 57.5 | 51 | 44% / 50% | 41 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 41% / 48% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 41% / 46% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 67.5 | 68 | 50% / 50% | 64 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 66.5 | 68 | 51% / 52% | 64 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 53% / 56% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 53% / 55% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 68.5 | 80 | 57% / 51% | 29 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 67.5 | 80 | 58% / 50% | 29 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 47% / 46% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 47% / 46% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 33% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 60.5 | 63 | 52% / 51% | 149 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 60.5 | 63 | 52% / 50% | 149 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 61% / 48% | 11 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 61% / 49% | 11 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 63.5 | 72 | 58% / 48% | 81 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 5.5 | 7 | 68% / 49% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 48% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 82.5 | 93 | 57% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 80.5 | 93 | 58% / 53% | 12 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 57% / 46% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 57% / 45% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 47% TD chance | 47% / 51% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 81.5 | 95 | 60% / 51% | 124 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 81.5 | 95 | 60% / 50% | 124 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 54% / 44% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 7.5 | 8 | 54% / 44% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 47% TD chance | 47% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 86.5 | 89 | 52% / 51% | 41 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 86.5 | 89 | 52% / 50% | 41 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 50% / 53% | 4 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 43% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 83.5 | 77 | 45% / 51% | 100 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 83.5 | 77 | 45% / 50% | 100 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 48% / 52% | 10 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 90.5 | 85 | 45% / 50% | 80 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 48% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 7.5 | 7 | 48% / 49% | 6 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 44% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 80.5 | 76 | 46% / 50% | 192 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 52% / 60% | 15 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 52% / 58% | 15 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 86.5 | 67 | 33% / 50% | 73 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 7.5 | 6 | 35% / 45% | 7 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 45% / 57% | 7 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 79.5 | 58 | 33% / 49% | 141 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 31% / 49% | 12 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 31% / 51% | 12 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 80.5 | 59 | 32% / 50% | 31 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 77.5 | 59 | 34% / 50% | 31 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 31% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 31% / 53% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 79.5 | – | – / 50% | 39 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 79.5 | – | – / 50% | 39 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 6.5 | – | – / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 6.5 | – | – / 49% | 5 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W3 Under 75.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 77.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 86.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 7.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 24.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 80.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 88.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 87.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 87.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 26.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 89.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 89.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 7.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 85.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 92.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 92.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 92.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 92.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 92.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 92.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 90.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 8.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Over 24.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Over 87.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Over 87.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 75.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 75.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 66.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 66.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 66.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Over 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 68.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Under 68.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 72.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 72.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Over 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Over 24.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Under 85.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Under 85.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Under 93.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Over 93.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W18 Under 93.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Over 93.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Under 93.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Under 93.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Over 93.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology