RB · BUF · 249 lines since 2023
James Cook Player Props
Closing consensus lines for James Cook, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 55% — we make it 60%
- Line 7.5 yds longest rec — we project 7.5 (P(over) 50%)
- Line 10.5 rec yds — we project 10 (P(over) 49%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 1 (P(over) 49%)
- Line 16.5 rush attempts — we project 15 (P(over) 37%)
- Line 88.5 rush + rec yds — we project 96 (P(over) 56%)
- Line 73.5 rush yds — we project 83 (P(over) 58%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 30, under 22 (52 graded)
- Receiving yards over 23, under 29 (52 graded)
- Receptions over 25, under 27 (52 graded)
- Anytime TD over 29, under 25 (54 graded)
- Rush attempts over 9, under 7 (16 graded)
- Longest reception over 8, under 8 (16 graded)
Our calls on him: Explosive plays 0–1 · Missed tackles 16–19 · Pre-snap motion 8–9 · model 81–73 · Short week 0–5 · Red-zone defense 2–3 · Starters out on defense 2–6 · Big favourite (6.5+) 3–3 · Stacked boxes 3–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 60% TD chance | 60% / 55% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 7.5 | 7.5 | 50% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 10 | 49% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 53% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 16.5 | 15 | 37% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush+rec yds | 88.5 | 96 | 56% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 73.5 | 83 | 58% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 65% TD chance | 65% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 9.7 | 53% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 45% / 49% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 85.5 | 94 | 56% / 50% | 75 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 67% TD chance | 67% / 63% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 14 | 55% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 58% / 57% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 80.5 | 97 | 63% / 50% | 154 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 63% TD chance | 63% / 63% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 14 | 40% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 33% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 79.5 | 87 | 56% / 50% | 135 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 11 | 31% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 28% / 54% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 74.5 | 87 | 60% / 50% | 57 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 60% TD chance | 60% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 60% TD chance | 60% / 54% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 8.5 | 8.3 | 49% / 52% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 11 | 44% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 19.5 | 18 | 41% / 46% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 87.5 | 95 | 57% / 50% | 74 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 57% TD chance | 57% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.3 | 40% / 49% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 9.4 | 39% / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 59% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 19.5 | 19 | 45% / 53% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 89.5 | 101 | 61% / 50% | 117 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 56% TD chance | 56% / 55% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.5 | 41% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 9.8 | 35% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 27% / 46% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 18.5 | 16 | 39% / 50% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 83.5 | 89 | 54% / 50% | 107 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 62% TD chance | 62% / 68% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 8.5 | 9.4 | 53% / 52% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 13 | 51% / 50% | 31 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 60% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush att | 19.5 | 18 | 41% / 53% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 101.5 | 110 | 57% / 50% | 80 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.7 | 42% / 48% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 11 | 42% / 50% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 55% / 60% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 17.5 | 15 | 38% / 52% | 32 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 82.5 | 81 | 49% / 50% | 144 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 53% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.1 | 39% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 9.2 | 35% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 42% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 17.5 | 16 | 40% / 53% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 78.5 | 83 | 54% / 50% | 116 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 57% TD chance | 57% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 8.5 | 7.0 | 43% / 52% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 9.3 | 44% / 49% | 66 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 26% / 37% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rush att | 17.5 | 16 | 38% / 53% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 81.5 | 89 | 57% / 50% | 48 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 64% TD chance | 64% / 64% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 7.5 | 5.4 | 43% / 51% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 6.5 | 43% / 50% | 24 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 39% / 48% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 17.5 | 17 | 48% / 49% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 85.5 | 106 | 64% / 51% | 53 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 57% TD chance | 57% / 59% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 8.5 | 5.8 | 38% / 51% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 7.1 | 35% / 50% | 11 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 16.5 | 14 | 36% / 47% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 72.5 | 84 | 61% / 50% | 114 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 61% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.6 | 42% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 9.9 | 41% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 27% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush att | 16.5 | 15 | 42% / 54% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 72.5 | 82 | 59% / 51% | 216 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 57% TD chance | 57% / 60% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.0 | 43% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 11 | 39% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 16.5 | 15 | 38% / 47% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 71.5 | 77 | 55% / 50% | 87 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 64% TD chance | 64% / 66% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 10.5 | 8.3 | 41% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 12 | 40% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 31% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 15.5 | 15 | 47% / 52% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 74.5 | 87 | 61% / 49% | 49 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 65% TD chance | 65% / 66% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 8.5 | 8.3 | 50% / 51% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 11 | 43% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 26% / 39% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 16.5 | 16 | 45% / 51% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 77.5 | 95 | 64% / 50% | 117 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 66% TD chance | 66% / 65% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.0 | 45% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 11 | 41% / 51% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 61% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 15.5 | 15 | 45% / 46% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 70.5 | 87 | 64% / 49% | 108 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 55% TD chance | 55% / 58% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 8.5 | 7.5 | 45% / 52% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 9.7 | 41% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 27% / 43% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 13.5 | 13 | 49% / 49% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 59.5 | 66 | 57% / 50% | 132 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 70% TD chance | 70% / 50% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 8.5 | 7.6 | 46% / 51% | 51 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 10.0 | 49% / 54% | 58 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 52% / 59% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rush att | 13.5 | 15 | 60% / 47% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rush yds | 54.5 | 77 | 71% / 50% | 44 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 18% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 62% TD chance | 62% / 58% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 11 | 50% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rush yds | 65.5 | 79 | 62% / 51% | 53 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 66% TD chance | 66% / 61% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 11 | 46% / 49% | 26 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 55% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rush yds | 65.5 | 82 | 65% / 51% | 100 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 56% TD chance | 56% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 14 | 48% / 50% | 28 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 39% / 41% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rush yds | 48.5 | 59 | 61% / 49% | 105 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 60% TD chance | 60% / 57% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 14 | 47% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 38% / 44% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rush yds | 61.5 | 74 | 62% / 51% | 20 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 58% TD chance | 58% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 16 | 49% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 43% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rush yds | 64.5 | 64 | 50% / 50% | 107 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 57% TD chance | 57% / 51% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 17 | 51% / 52% | 7 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 48% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rush yds | 54.5 | 61 | 58% / 49% | 20 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 17 | 53% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 45% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rush yds | 65.5 | 70 | 55% / 51% | 80 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 59% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 13 | 43% / 50% | 25 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 39% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rush yds | 65.5 | 74 | 58% / 51% | 44 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 51% TD chance | 51% / 45% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 9.9 | 41% / 51% | 22 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 26% / 39% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 61.5 | 62 | 50% / 50% | 111 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 63% TD chance | 63% / 48% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 12 | 45% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 31% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rush yds | 60.5 | 66 | 56% / 49% | 32 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 50% TD chance | 50% / 48% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 19 | 47% / 50% | 17 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 50% / 55% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rush yds | 58.5 | 56 | 47% / 51% | 82 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 19 | 48% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 54% / 55% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rush yds | 53.5 | 54 | 51% / 50% | 39 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 56% TD chance | 56% / 53% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 16 | 46% / 50% | 48 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 51% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rush yds | 64.5 | 66 | 52% / 51% | 39 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 48% TD chance | 48% / 41% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 15 | 43% / 51% | 17 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 52% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rush yds | 61.5 | 58 | 45% / 52% | 78 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 55% TD chance | 55% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 23 | 59% / 51% | 32 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 58% / 49% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rush yds | 60.5 | 64 | 54% / 50% | 71 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 52% TD chance | 52% / 45% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 15 | 38% / 51% | 16 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 37% / 56% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rush yds | 61.5 | 64 | 53% / 48% | 36 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 19 | 42% / 50% | -4 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rush yds | 64.5 | 77 | 60% / 49% | 48 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 57% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 21 | 36% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 30% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rush yds | 70.5 | 90 | 65% / 50% | 70 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 48% TD chance | 48% / 43% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 17 | 40% / 49% | 42 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 60% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rush yds | 51.5 | 63 | 63% / 50% | 179 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 48% TD chance | 48% / 39% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 16 | 43% / 50% | 83 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 45% / 53% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rush yds | 49.5 | 60 | 62% / 51% | 58 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 14 | 48% / 50% | 57 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 46% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rush yds | 46.5 | 55 | 60% / 50% | 43 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 52% TD chance | 52% / 40% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 11 | 43% / 49% | 29 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 32% / 49% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rush yds | 55.5 | 72 | 66% / 50% | 73 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 51% TD chance | 51% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 15 | 41% / 50% | 11 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 37% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rush yds | 59.5 | 67 | 57% / 50% | 109 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 47% TD chance | 47% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 12 | 41% / 50% | 19 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 30% / 41% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rush yds | 49.5 | 58 | 60% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 14 | 44% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 34% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rush yds | 53.5 | 64 | 61% / 50% | 67 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 45% TD chance | 45% / 37% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 11 | 40% / 51% | 46 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 41% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rush yds | 52.5 | 68 | 66% / 49% | 56 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 55% TD chance | 55% / 53% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 15 | 47% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 35% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rush yds | 60.5 | 65 | 54% / 50% | 71 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 17 | 52% / 50% | 25 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 44% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rush yds | 55.5 | 75 | 68% / 51% | -4 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 49% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 17 | 47% / 52% | 48 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 51% / 56% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rush yds | 60.5 | 82 | 70% / 50% | 29 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 18 | 51% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 53% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rush yds | 53.5 | 74 | 71% / 51% | 98 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 19 | 53% / 50% | 36 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 49% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rush yds | 55.5 | 56 | 51% / 49% | 123 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 14.5 | – | – / 53% | 17 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | – | – / 44% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rush yds | 42.5 | – | – / 50% | 46 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Under 75.5 rush yds (Explosive plays, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W5 Under 75.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W5 Under 75.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 85.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Over 85.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 80.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 80.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 79.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Over 79.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 79.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 79.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Under 19.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 74.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 87.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 87.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 87.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 19.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 19.5 rush attempts (Stacked boxes, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 19.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 89.5 rush yds (Stacked boxes, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 89.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 89.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 89.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 18.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 83.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 19.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 101.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 101.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 101.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 17.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 82.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 82.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 17.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 78.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 78.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 78.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology