RB · IND · 214 lines since 2023
Jonathan Taylor Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Jonathan Taylor, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 62% — we make it 55%
- Line 9.5 yds longest rec — we project 9.1 (P(over) 49%)
- Line 16.5 rec yds — we project 14 (P(over) 43%)
- Line 2.5 receptions — we project 2 (P(over) 43%)
- Line 19.5 rush attempts — we project 18 (P(over) 41%)
- Line 105.5 rush + rec yds — we project 88 (P(over) 36%)
- Line 83.5 rush yds — we project 70 (P(over) 38%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 26, under 18 (44 graded)
- Receiving yards over 20, under 24 (44 graded)
- Receptions over 19, under 23 (42 graded)
- Anytime TD over 28, under 17 (45 graded)
- Rush attempts over 7, under 9 (16 graded)
- Longest reception over 9, under 7 (16 graded)
Our calls on him: Red-zone defense 2–1 · model 56–62 · Missed tackles 11–18 · Pre-snap motion 8–8 · Big underdog (6.5+) 0–1 · Dome team outdoors 6–7 · Big favourite (6.5+) 2–2 · Starters out on defense 6–1 · Light boxes 0–2 · Explosive plays 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 55% TD chance | 55% / 62% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 9.5 | 9.1 | 49% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 14 | 43% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 19.5 | 18 | 41% / 48% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush+rec yds | 105.5 | 88 | 36% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 83.5 | 70 | 38% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 65% TD chance | 65% / 75% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 17 | 46% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 53% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 93.5 | 91 | 48% / 50% | 95 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 60% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 15 | 39% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 48% / 59% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 81.5 | 81 | 49% / 50% | 68 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 56% TD chance | 56% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 13 | 41% / 50% | 40 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 53% | 4 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 79.5 | 77 | 48% / 50% | 92 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 64% TD chance | 64% / 65% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 15 | 46% / 50% | 23 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 52% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 76.5 | 87 | 60% / 50% | 98 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 58% TD chance | 58% / 66% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.4 | 45% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 14 | 41% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 55% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 19.5 | 18 | 41% / 47% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 75.5 | 87 | 60% / 50% | 70 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 70% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 10.5 | 8.7 | 40% / 51% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 13 | 34% / 51% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 21% / 42% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 22.5 | 18 | 31% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 99.5 | 89 | 42% / 51% | 46 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 9.5 | 6.6 | 33% / 51% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 9.5 | 30% / 51% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 57% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 20.5 | 17 | 33% / 49% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 78.5 | 67 | 37% / 50% | 87 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 60% TD chance | 60% / 68% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.3 | 44% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 15 | 43% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rush att | 20.5 | 18 | 36% / 49% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 92.5 | 95 | 52% / 51% | 74 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 70% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.8 | 46% / 52% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 14 | 45% / 51% | 36 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 38% / 46% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 19.5 | 17 | 37% / 47% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 86.5 | 94 | 56% / 51% | 85 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 61% TD chance | 61% / 68% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 11.5 | 8.6 | 36% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 13 | 31% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 37% / 57% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 18.5 | 17 | 40% / 47% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 85.5 | 94 | 57% / 50% | 58 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 67% TD chance | 67% / 76% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.0 | 44% / 50% | 24 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 12 | 40% / 50% | 42 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 50% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 18.5 | 18 | 45% / 52% | 32 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 93.5 | 106 | 58% / 49% | 244 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 66% TD chance | 66% / 75% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.9 | 48% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 15 | 43% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 54% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 19.5 | 16 | 31% / 48% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 95.5 | 98 | 53% / 50% | 45 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 71% TD chance | 71% / 80% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 10.5 | 11 | 51% / 50% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 16 | 46% / 50% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 53% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush att | 20.5 | 20 | 46% / 47% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 100.5 | 121 | 64% / 51% | 153 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 60% TD chance | 60% / 64% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.9 | 47% / 52% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 16 | 44% / 51% | 38 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 50% / 60% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 19.5 | 16 | 32% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 88.5 | 81 | 43% / 50% | 94 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 66% TD chance | 66% / 74% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 10.5 | 10 | 50% / 49% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 16 | 48% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 42% / 53% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 19.5 | 17 | 34% / 50% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 88.5 | 90 | 51% / 50% | 123 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 65% TD chance | 65% / 71% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 10.5 | 11 | 52% / 49% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 18 | 53% / 49% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 47% / 51% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 19.5 | 19 | 49% / 53% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 89.5 | 105 | 63% / 49% | 66 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 67% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 9.5 | 9.0 | 48% / 48% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 13 | 47% / 51% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 34% / 43% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 19.5 | 17 | 38% / 52% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 87.5 | 86 | 49% / 49% | 76 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 66% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.8 | 47% / 49% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 12 | 47% / 51% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 40% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 20.5 | 19 | 45% / 51% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 90.5 | 102 | 58% / 52% | 102 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 51% TD chance | 51% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 8.5 | 6.9 | 43% / 52% | 43 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 8.8 | 35% / 52% | 50 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 26% / 45% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 19.5 | 16 | 31% / 46% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 76.5 | 68 | 41% / 49% | 165 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 66% TD chance | 66% / 63% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 8.5 | 8.9 | 51% / 49% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 13 | 55% / 50% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 32% / 36% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rush att | 18.5 | 22 | 64% / 50% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rush yds | 79.5 | 106 | 70% / 51% | 71 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 65% TD chance | 65% / 60% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 7.0 | 38% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rush yds | 81.5 | 118 | 76% / 49% | 177 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 55% TD chance | 55% / 66% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 5.6 | 33% / 52% | 11 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 33% / 58% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rush yds | 95.5 | 105 | 58% / 49% | 125 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 7.0 | 49% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rush yds | 87.5 | 75 | 38% / 50% | 218 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 8.7 | 51% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rush yds | 75.5 | 56 | 30% / 49% | 107 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 47% TD chance | 47% / 53% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 11 | 52% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 55% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rush yds | 81.5 | 64 | 33% / 50% | 96 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 46% TD chance | 46% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 10 | 50% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 50% / 54% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rush yds | 69.5 | 57 | 36% / 50% | 35 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 45% TD chance | 45% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 9.4 | 47% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 52% / 53% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rush yds | 84.5 | 80 | 46% / 51% | 57 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 50% TD chance | 50% / 61% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 12 | 34% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 17% / 41% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rush yds | 78.5 | 72 | 44% / 51% | 114 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 59% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 9.2 | 34% / 50% | 11 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 25% / 50% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rush yds | 72.5 | 55 | 32% / 49% | 48 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 52% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 8.7 | 48% / 51% | 12 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 53% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 67.5 | 55 | 37% / 49% | 105 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 52% TD chance | 52% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 5.5 | 33% / 50% | 20 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 36% / 59% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rush yds | 74.5 | 71 | 46% / 50% | 88 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 7.7 | 39% / 50% | 25 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 43% / 60% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rush yds | 72.5 | 81 | 58% / 51% | 110 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 55% TD chance | 55% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 4.4 | 25% / 51% | 32 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 33% / 56% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rush yds | 81.5 | 75 | 44% / 50% | 103 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 52% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 9.3 | 39% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 26% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rush yds | 73.5 | 80 | 56% / 49% | 48 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 63% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 8.8 | 32% / 48% | 8 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 25% / 42% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rush yds | 67.5 | 58 | 41% / 50% | 188 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 57% TD chance | 57% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 13 | 48% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 37% / 42% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rush yds | 81.5 | 64 | 33% / 51% | 96 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 9.4 | 27% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 32% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rush yds | 75.5 | 50 | 21% / 51% | 43 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 50% TD chance | 50% / 60% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 13 | 29% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 21% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rush yds | 76.5 | 49 | 23% / 49% | 91 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 47% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 15 | 38% / 51% | 6 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 61% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rush yds | 66.5 | 38 | 17% / 49% | 69 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 10 | 39% / 51% | 22 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 28% / 47% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rush yds | 69.5 | 41 | 19% / 50% | 47 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 13 | 39% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 58% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rush yds | 61.5 | 34 | 15% / 50% | 95 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 40% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 7.6 | 24% / 49% | 45 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 27% / 54% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rush yds | 49.5 | 15 | 5% / 51% | 75 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 0.6 | 24% / 51% | 46 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 16% / 45% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Rush yds | 43.5 | 8.6 | 4% / 50% | 19 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | – | – / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 12.5 | – | – / 49% | 16 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rush yds | 46.5 | – | – / 50% | 18 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Over 93.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Over 93.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 81.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 79.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 76.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W18 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 19.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 75.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 19.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 22.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 99.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 99.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 20.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 20.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 78.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 78.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 78.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 78.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 20.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 92.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 19.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 86.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 86.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 11.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 18.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 85.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 85.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 85.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 18.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 18.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 93.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 93.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 93.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology